BEST PICTURE
Picture - Studio	Golden Globes	Comment
Dreamgirls	C/M	Clearly the likely leader in nominations... it's spirit and show biz story should make it the easy winner
Letters From Iwo Jima	FL	Significantly better than Flags, which will make it the perceived #2... but a languid 2:20 running time and Japanese language makes it tough to win. (And unless The Globes changes course at the last minute, it will be in the foreign language ghetto)
The Queen	D	NBR misses the boat... yet again
The Departed	D	A killer.. too much so to win.
The Leading Contenders For The 5 Slot
The Pursuit of Happyness	D	The simple, emotional, American option with a superstar performance against type
Little Miss Sunshine	C/M	The well loved comedy with ensmble love
The Rest Of The Field That Are Still Possible
Notes of a Scandal	D	If it can't crack the HFPA, no chance at Oscar... would have to settle for acting and writing nods
Pan's Labyrinth	FL	People really love this film... even if it is the longes of longshots
Babel	D	In the hands of the critics groups
Little Children		Churning
World Trade Center		A lot of advertising, but is it clicking? Could be time to give up
The Unlikely But Alive
The Good Shepherd		Too much of a good thing, too little focus for one movie
The Illusionist
Flags of Our Fathers
Venus		Drama slot gives O'Toole a shot at Best Actor, but kills any hope of a Picture nom
Apocalypto		Rumor is that it may not even get Foreign Language nod at Globes
Golden Globes Only
Borat	C/M
The Devil Wears Prada	C/M
The Holiday	C/M	In a year short of award musicals and comedies, anything is possible
For Your Consideration		In a year short of award musicals and comedies, anything is possible
Out Of The Season
As Noted Earlier - The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford, Goya's Ghosts, Margaret, Rescue Dawn, Youth Without Youth, Zodiac

Other Possibles - By Studio Columbia/Tri-Star All The King's Men   The Da Vinci Code   Marie Antoinette   Running With Scissors   Stranger Than Fiction   Disney The Prestige   Focus Hollywoodland   Scoop   Fox A Good Year   Focus Features Catch A Fire   Fox Searchlight Fast Food Nation   The History Boys   The Last King of Scotland   MGM Home of the Brave   Rocky Reloaded   Miramax The Hoax   New Line The Nativity   Picturehouse Fur   Sony Pictures Classics Volver   Universal Children of Men   United 93   Warner Bros Blood Diamond   The Fountain   The Good German   Warner Indie The Painted Veil   The Weinstein Company Bobby   Breaking & Entering

Charts from November 30 Picturex Director xx...Actor/Supporting Actor XActress/Supporting Actress xScreenplay/Adapted Screenplay

---

December 7 , 2006
- by David Poland