Gary Dretzka
Leonard Klady
David Poland
Douglas Pratt
Ray Pride

Rank	Last Week	Studio	Film	Release Date	Est Gross	Comment
1	1	Dis	Pirates of the Caribbean II	July7	$390m	The new trailer tells the b.o. story... the only movie that will satisfy all audiences (except art housers) all the way this summer
2	2	WB	Superman	June 30	$228m	The date and the respectful distance of other studios should get it this far... but not much farther
3	4	Dis	Cars	June 9	$210m	Vrooom... a bit dissapointing for Pixar, but considering the overflow of animation and a late start, a good number
4	6	Sony	Click	June 23	$190m	A near perfect conceit for Sandler
5	3	Par	Mission: Impossible 3	May 5	$175m	Big second weekend drop before a Da Vinci/X3 buzzsaw... good reviews from traditional media are not a good sign
6	7	Sony	Monster House	July 21	$173m	The dark horse smash of the summer, a kinds film that looks like it can pull in older teens as well
7	5	Fox	X-Men: The Last Stand	May 26	$170m	Weirdly negative web buzz... but big surprises and built in sequel value should keep it running hot for a couple of weeks
8	9	Sony	The Da Vinci Code	May 19	$160m	The christians are not coming... the kids probably aren't coming... tracking is massive, but the movie is going to have to be very special to do Bourne Supremacy business ($187m)
9	11	U	The Break Up	June 2	$156m	This is a big number... if the ending works, it could go a little higher...
10	10	DWA	Over The Hedge	May 19	$150m	A little worse than Badagascar, with the date key to not getting hurt worse by competition
11	13	U	Miami Vice	July 28	$110m	I'm schizo on this one... one week I think it's going to leap even higher... the next, I think it's going to stall and do $58 million... this week, I'm on the high side
12	8	WB	Poseidon	May 12	$105m	Decent thriller, but not great... ads should be good enough to recover from terrible early tracking for a $35 start
13	12	WB	Lady in the Water	July 21	$90m	Will they trust him after The Village?
14	14	U	You, Me & Dupree	July 14	$86m	My gut says go lower... but if it's any good at all and if Owen Wilson retains any good will from last summer... and what if it's actually funny?
15	17	Fox	Just My Luck	May 12	$78m	Strong premise... Lindsay slutting around... week month for girls...
16	16	Fox	Super Ex-Girlfriend	July 21	$68m	Flying blind on this one... when will the trailer arrive? Probably on X3... better be good... I'm probably either at half or double the real draw
17	15	Sony	Talladega Nights	Aug 4	$67m	This number would actually be better than either of his films from last summer and a little behind Anchorman
18	21	Par	Nacho Libre	June 16	$66m	Is there any more than this in Jack Black in tights?
19	23	Fox	The Omen	June 9	$65m	Moving up a bit... fills a genre hole in the summer... if it's actually terrific, couldbe higher... but with good marketing, this is probably within reach even if it sucks
20	19	Sony	Little Man	July 7	$64m	The Wayans Bros go The Full Farrelly... a sleeper
21	18	U	Fast & The Furious: Tokyo Drift	June 16	$63m	Just waiting to tap into that giant Asian youth market... oh, yeah... that market doesn't exist in the US... but a small number here could be countered by record numbers in Asia... all the dollars count
22	20	WB	The Ant Bully	Aug 4	$60m	Is WB ready to sell animation again?
23	22	Fox	Garfield's A Tale Of 2 Kiddies	June 23	$55m	In Sequel Logic, this movie does $100 million... but my non-belief remains
24	26	Par	World Trade Center	Aug 11	$50m	It's going to have to be sold smartly, but NIc Cage and a story could outdo U93... but not by much, as there will still be resistance
24	24	NL	Snakes On A Plane	Aug 18	$48m	Great number for this low budget flick... right between Anaconda and Anacondas
26	25	Sony	Zoom	Aug 11	$36m	I believe that Revolution could screw up what is a virtual sequel to last year's sleeper hit Sky High ($64m)
27	33	Focus	Fearless	Aug 4	$30m	Let Li I turn, step by step, film by film...
28	27	TWC	Clerks II: The Passion Of The Clerks	Aug 18	$28m	Kevin Smith has never cracked $31 million... he has a shot here, but could use some more help from star friends
29	28	NL	Hoot	May 5	$26m	Did you know that some owls live underground? Do you care?
30	29	WB	Pathfinder	July 14	$25m	Smells like the dud of the summer
31	30	WB	The Reaping	Aug 11	$24m	Hilary Swank without gloves
32	31	U	Accepted	Aug 11	$24m	Does Universal see this as a contender for 40 Yr Old Virgin? Or is it a dumper? Scott Stuber's first film as an exec producer, so maybe the former and I may be waaaaaay off. (Dupree is the first outing for he and Mary Parent as producer producers.)
33	32	Fox	The Devil Wears Prada	June 30	$23m	Expect a LOT of media attention, especially in NY. And expect everyone outside of the Top 5 markets to stay far, far away.
34	34	Dim	DOA: Dead or Alive	Aug 25	$21m
35	35	WB	The Lake House	June 16	$20m	No one wants to see these two be romantic... ever
36	36	FoxS	Little Miss Sunshine	July 28	$19m	A strong showing for a little Sundance film... too R to be Dynamite
37	37	Par	Barnyard	July 28	$18m	The children's pig of the summer
38	38	WB	Beerfest	Aug 25	$17m	Yes, the Broken Lizards aren't just for DVD... or are they?
39	45	NL	How To Eat Fried Worms	Aug 25	$17m	How hard will New Line push... and what's with the frickin' date? Either get into summer or get out
40	39	Fox	John Tucker Must Die	July 28	$16m	Can someone ressurect John Hughes? Tad Hamilton couldn't
41	44	WIP	A Scanner Darkly	Jun 24	$14.5m	If it's not a $50 million grosser, it's will be hard to do this number in that bo class
42	42	Free	An American Haunting	May 5	$13.5m	It smells like a big opportunity, but even with a few national TV spots and a campaign stolen directly from Emily Rose, it's hard to see it breaking out
43	42	Diim	Pulse	July 14	$13m
44	41	U	Idlewild	Aug 25	$12m	Andre 3000 is going to have to go door to door to get an audience for this one
45	43	WB	Waist Deep	June 23	$11m
46	40	BM	Harsh Times	June 2	$9m	A good, marketable genre movie, but can the distributor cut the mustard?
47	46	BM	I Could Never Be Your Woman	July 28	$6.5m
48	-	1stL	The Proposition	May 5	$3.1m	A truly great movie... with a tiny, energized, tiny distributor
49	47	BM	Fragile	Aug 4	$3m
50	48	PH	A Prairie Home Companion	June 9	$2.5m
51	49	MGM	See No Evil	May 19	$1.9m

Week Four - 5/4
Week Three - 4/27
Week Two - 4/20 | The Chart
Week One - 4/13 | The Chart

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