BEST PICTURE
Rk	LW	Picture - Studio	Comments
1	1	Brokeback Mountain - Focus Features	Riding high.
2	4	Crash - Lions Gate	Revving its engines.
3	5	Munich - Universal	Might be happy just to be nominated
4	6	Good Night, & Good Luck - WIP	Good get
5	3	Capote - Sony Pictures Classics	Could still shock... but needs box office muscle

BEST DIRECTOR
Rk	LW	Director - Film	Comment
1	1	Ang Lee - Brokeback Mountain	Likely his year
2	4	Steven Spielberg - Munich	If the studio pushes it and he joins the conversation, he could step up
3	6	Paul Haggis - Crash	Unlikely to overcome a very straight style... will get his in Screenplay
4	7	George Clooney - Good Night, And Good Luck	An honor to be in this company
5	2	Bennett Miller - Capote	The kid... he'll be back

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Rk	LW	Writer(s) - Film	Comment
1	1	Crash - Paul Haggis, Robert Moresco	Your winner.
2	2	Good Night. And, Good Luck - George Clooney, Grant Heslov
3	6	The Squid & The Whale - Noah Baumbach
4	4	Match Point - Woody Allen
5	7	Syriana - Stephen Gaghan

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Rk	LW	Writer(s) - Film	Comment
1	1	Brokeback Mountain - Larry McMurtry, Diana Ossana	Bet the house. Even people who dont like the film will vote for this one.
2	2	Capote - Dan Futterman
3	3	Munich - Tony Kushner, Eric Roth
5	5	The Constant Gardener - Jeffrey Caine
6	6	A History Of Violence - Josh Olson

BEST ACTRESS
Rk	LW	Actress - Film	Comment
1	1	Reese Witherspoon - Walk The Line	People looking for some action are thinking that maybe her speeches have been too dry...
2	3	Felicity Huffman - Transamerica	... but the great TV actress in a not-very-good film can't beat her
3	2	Judi Dench - Mrs. Henderson Presents
4	4	Charlize Theron - North Country
5	-	Keira Knightly - Pride & Prejudice

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Rk	LW	Actress - Film	Comment
1	1	Rachel Weisz - The Constant Gardener	Could miss... but she is the co-lead and there has never been a more charming Oscar campaigner than this 5 1/2 month pregnant candidate.
2	2	Michelle Williams - Brokeback Mountain	You have to be a pretty big star to win while appearing not to care
3	3	Catherine Keener - Capote	Very well liked indie queen could have won with a slightly bigger part
4	4	Amy Adams - Junebug
5	5	Frances McDormand - North Country

BEST ACTOR
Rk	LW	Actor - Film	Comment
1	1	Philip Seymour Hoffman - Capote	He's become a pretty sure bet
2	3	Joaquin Phoenix - Walk The Line	A great performance, but his real world rep is killing him
3	5	Terrence Howard - Hustle & Flow	The great charmer... but still, probably not enough to beat PSH
4	2	Heath Ledger - Brokeback Mountain	Falling from grace after giggling at SAG... but could fly back into contention if Brokeback finds a second wind
5	4	David Strathairn - Good Night. And, Good Luck

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Rk	LW	Actor - Film	Comment
1	4	George Clooney - Syriana	The most competitive Top 8 category... it's a nice Clooney year, but he's no sure bet here
2	1	Paul Giamatti - Cinderella Man	Make-up sex? Probably not.
3	-	Matt Dillon - Crash	Could jump to the top if the movie accelerates
4	-	Jake Gyllenhaal - Brokeback Mountain
5	3	William Hurt - A History of Violence

 

,, Charts - Last Week Picture .. | ..Director.. | ..Actor.. | ..Actress.. | ..Screenplay ,,

February 2 , 2006

- David Poland