..Gary Dretzka
..Noah Forrest
..Leonard Klady
..R.J. Matson
..David Poland
..Douglas Pratt
..Ray Pride
..Michael Wilmington

PictureX Director
xx...Actor/Supporting Actor XActress/Supporting Actress
xScreenplay/Adapted Screenplay

BEST ACTOR
	Actor - Film	HFPA	Comment
1	Joaquin Phoenix - Walk The Line	M/C	Unless Bana shocks, truly the great performance of this year
2	Eric Bana - Munich		In the assumed slot
3	Philip Seymour Hoffman - Capote	D	Beloved actor, pitch perfect turn
4	Heath Ledger - Brokeback Mountain	D	He acts just like a cowboy ... He makes love just like a cowboy ... And he aches just like a cowboy. But he breaks just like a little boy
5	Nathan Lane - The Producers	M/C	If the movie really takes off, he will be a major contender
6	David Strathairn - Good Night. And, Good Luck	D	Excellenr, but very, very, very dry performance with little way in for audience members
7	Cillian Murphy - Breakfast On Pluto	M/C	A really special performance, SPC needs to get it rolling... fighting another SPC film
8	Ralph Fiennes - The Constant Gardener	D	Probably his best performance, but if movie is not in BP contention, hard for him to be in the right place to get slotted
9	Russell Crowe - Cinderella Man	D	The big brood is hard to completely count out
10	Jeff Daniels - The Squid & The Whale	M/C	Abrasive, funny, smart performance, but will probably have to stave off Hoffman at Indie Spirits too
11	Terrence Howard - Hustle & Flow	M/C	Did fine, but not fine enough.
12	George Clooney - Syriana		Could be a happy surprise. We'll see when we see
13	Johnny Depp - The Libertine		He is a great actor... but getting through this film will challenge even hard core fans
14	Viggo Mortensen - A History Of Violence		Really worthy of serious consideration, but a crowded field and too many naysayers
15	Tommy Lee Jones - The Three Burials Of Melquiades Estrada		Due respect... no.

 

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
	Actor - Film		Comment
1	Geoffrey Rush - Munich	GG	3 Oscar nods, 4 Globe nods in last 8 years
2	Bob Hoskins - Mrs. Henderson Presents (GG)	GG	Welcome home
3	Daniel Craig - Munich	GG	If his work is as good as it has been in other films, his new fame will close the deal
4	Don Cheadle - Crash		Lions Gate will push Dillon too, but Cheadle is in ifirst position
5	William Hurt - A History of Violence		If New Line can get actors looking at that scene
6	Matthew Broderick - The Producers	GG	The straight man... but he has his own numbers... kinda depends of the Gene Wilder read
7	Matt Dillon - Crash	GG	One of his finer perfomances
8	Alexander Siddig - Syriana		Haven't seen the film, but his name is getting mentioned in-house a lot
9	Jeffrey Wright - Syriana		One of our very best...
10	Jake Gyllenhaal - Brokeback Mountain		The softer role
11	Craig T. Nelson - The Family Stone		Would be the "actor's lifetime" nominee, but Hoskins and Hurt could suck some air out of that pitch
12	Will Ferrell - The Producers		Featured, but still Will Ferrell... will Academy members check that box even if they want to?
13	Gary Beach - The Producers		A scene stealer, but a theater guy
14	Richard Jenkins - North Country		Great, great supporting performance... but the movie's box office may have ended the hope
15	Kevin Costner - The Upside of Anger		A movie star playing against type excellently... but memory fades

,, Charts - Last Week Picture .. | ..Director.. | ..Actor.. | ..Actress.. | ..Screenplay ,,

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October 27, 2005
- David Poland