Gary Dretzka
Leonard Klady
David Poland
Ray Pride






Picture || | Director
xxActor/Supporting Actor
|| |Actress/Supporting Actress
xScreenplay/Adapted Screenplay

BEST PICTURE
Picture - Studio
Comment
The Aviator - Miramax
The movie to beat... rumors of delay to 2005 are spin... can only lose to its own problems
Closer - Columbia Sophisticated, sexy take on where we are... could be too smart to win, smart enough to get nod
Fahrenheit 9/11 - Lions Gate Bush has to lose for this to happen... but if he does, watch out! Hollywood loves to congratulate itself.
Ray - Universal Great story, great music and apparently, a great performance by Jamie "Breakin' All The Rules" Foxx
Alexander - Warner Bros. If a historic epic is going to work in America this year, this is it
X
The Passion Of The Christ - Newmarket
Don't bet too big against it. Academy may be over 40% non-Jewish...and 10% to 15% is enough for a nod.
The Motorcycle Diaries - Focus Features Foreign language films have a hard road to a nomination, but this one could hit just right
The Manchurian Candidate - Paramount A very good movie... but good enough to last into January? Others have to fall by the wayside.
Spanglish - Columbia Early buzz was bad, but the studio is warming to the film in a hurry
The Phantom Of The Opera - WB Another bad early buzz film, but if the buzz if wrong, the film is perfect for Oscar
X
Bridget Jones: Edge Of Reason - Universal It's a comedy, but many think the first film could have done better on Oscar noms
Finding Neverland - Miramax A lovely movie that critics will push, but too small to keep its legs
Kinsey - Fox Searchlight It's sex, but it's studious... Toronto will tell the tale
The Life Aquatic - Disney Working on its second cut now... but even if brillaint, is Oscar ready for Wes Anderson
A Very Long Engagement - Warner Indie From the maker of Amelie, starring Amelie herself... the last one got buried, though many of us love that film
 
Other Possibles - By Studio
DreamWorks
Collateral
Strong, very dark movie... not Oscar's style
Shrek 2 Will probably be #1 at the box office for the year... but will have to duke it out with The Incredibles for the animated Oscar
Focus
The Door In The Floor Big heart... too small to hold
Eternal Sunshine Of The Spotless Mind
Almost impossible to overcome weak box office performance without a successful re-release
Fox Searchlight
I Heart Huckabee's David O. Russell is an artist, but art rarely makes the cut
Sideways Alexander Payne & Jim Taylor might touch greatness, but the cast is not Oscar bait
Lions Gate
Beyond The Sea - Lions Gate Kevin Spacey in a lot of make-up... yipes.
MGM
De-Lovely Witty & charming, but a tough niche to scratch
Miramax
Proof The Christmas release date is not encouraging... looks like an actor's movie
An Unfinished Life Finished, but in the can for a year
New Line
The Notebook Holding well, especially with Academy types... still, acting slots are only real chance

Out To Sea

They say this new Amenabar is truly brilliant
The Upside Of Anger How good is this film? Will it take the wind out of Closer's sails? We'll soon see.
Paramount
Alfie Could be Jude Law's What Women Want... but Oscar?
Lemony Snicket's A Series Of Unfortunate Events Big money, big money, big money...
Twentieth Century Fox
In Her Shoes Fox's only real contender may not even be ready this year... but if it is, Curtis Hanson and Cameron Diaz stepping up... could be really interesting
Sony Pictures Classics
Bad Education Almodovar is beloved... but is a pervy priest story going to embraced on Oscar night?
House Of Flying Daggers Some say it is the next step from Crouching Tiger... but CTHD had a long gestation period and this one will have to come out swinging
Warner Bros
The Polar Express Hard to read... could be a real dark horse
Warner Indie
Around The Bend Family drama starring Caine and Walken, two of the busiest men in show business
We Don't Live Here Anymore
Watts, Ruffalo... looks more IFP

 

July 28, 2004

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