|
BEST
PICTURE
|
|
Picture
- Studio
|
Comment
|
The
Aviator - Miramax
|
The
movie to beat... rumors of delay to 2005 are spin... can only lose
to its own problems |
| Closer
- Columbia |
Sophisticated,
sexy take on where we are... could be too smart to win, smart enough
to get nod |
| Fahrenheit
9/11 - Lions Gate |
Bush
has to lose for this to happen... but if he does, watch out! Hollywood
loves to congratulate itself. |
| Ray
- Universal |
Great
story, great music and apparently, a great performance by Jamie
"Breakin' All The Rules" Foxx |
| Alexander
- Warner Bros. |
If
a historic epic is going to work in America this year, this is it |
| X |
The
Passion Of The Christ - Newmarket
|
Don't
bet too big against it. Academy may be over 40% non-Jewish...and
10% to 15% is enough for a nod. |
| The
Motorcycle Diaries - Focus Features |
Foreign
language films have a hard road to a nomination, but this one could
hit just right |
| The
Manchurian Candidate - Paramount |
A
very good movie... but good enough to last into January? Others
have to fall by the wayside. |
| Spanglish
- Columbia |
Early
buzz was bad, but the studio is warming to the film in a hurry |
| The
Phantom Of The Opera - WB |
Another
bad early buzz film, but if the buzz if wrong, the film is perfect
for Oscar |
| X |
| Bridget
Jones: Edge Of Reason - Universal |
It's
a comedy, but many think the first film could have done better on
Oscar noms |
| Finding
Neverland - Miramax |
A
lovely movie that critics will push, but too small to keep its legs |
| Kinsey
- Fox Searchlight |
It's
sex, but it's studious... Toronto will tell the tale |
| The
Life Aquatic - Disney |
Working
on its second cut now... but even if brillaint, is Oscar ready for
Wes Anderson |
| A
Very Long Engagement - Warner Indie |
From
the maker of Amelie, starring Amelie herself... the last one got
buried, though many of us love that film |
| |
|
Other
Possibles - By Studio
|
|
DreamWorks
|
Collateral
|
Strong,
very dark movie... not Oscar's style |
| Shrek
2 |
Will
probably be #1 at the box office for the year... but will have to
duke it out with The Incredibles for the animated Oscar |
|
Focus
|
| The
Door In The Floor |
Big
heart... too small to hold |
Eternal
Sunshine Of The Spotless Mind
|
Almost
impossible to overcome weak box office performance without a successful
re-release |
|
Fox
Searchlight
|
| I
Heart Huckabee's |
David
O. Russell is an artist, but art rarely makes the cut |
| Sideways |
Alexander
Payne & Jim Taylor might touch greatness, but the cast is not
Oscar bait |
|
Lions
Gate
|
| Beyond
The Sea - Lions Gate |
Kevin
Spacey in a lot of make-up... yipes. |
|
MGM
|
| De-Lovely |
Witty
& charming, but a tough niche to scratch |
|
Miramax
|
| Proof |
The
Christmas release date is not encouraging... looks like an actor's
movie |
| An
Unfinished Life |
Finished,
but in the can for a year |
|
New
Line
|
| The
Notebook |
Holding
well, especially with Academy types... still, acting slots are only
real chance |
|
Out To Sea
|
They
say this new Amenabar is truly brilliant |
| The
Upside Of Anger |
How
good is this film? Will it take the wind out of Closer's sails?
We'll soon see. |
|
Paramount
|
| Alfie |
Could
be Jude Law's What Women Want... but Oscar? |
| Lemony
Snicket's A Series Of Unfortunate Events |
Big
money, big money, big money... |
|
Twentieth
Century Fox
|
| In
Her Shoes |
Fox's
only real contender may not even be ready this year... but if it
is, Curtis Hanson and Cameron Diaz stepping up... could be really
interesting |
|
Sony
Pictures Classics
|
| Bad
Education |
Almodovar
is beloved... but is a pervy priest story going to embraced on Oscar
night? |
| House
Of Flying Daggers |
Some
say it is the next step from Crouching Tiger... but CTHD had a long
gestation period and this one will have to come out swinging |
|
Warner
Bros
|
| The
Polar Express |
Hard
to read... could be a real dark horse |
|
Warner
Indie
|
| Around
The Bend |
Family
drama starring Caine and Walken, two of the busiest men in show
business |
We
Don't Live Here Anymore
|
Watts,
Ruffalo... looks more IFP |