..Gary Dretzka
..Noah Forrest
..Leonard Klady
..David Poland
..Douglas Pratt
..Ray Pride
..Kim Voynar
..Michael Wilmington

October 11, 2009
October 4, 2009
September 27, 2009
September 20, 2009
September 13, 2009
September 6, 2009
August 30, 2009
August 23, 2009
August 16, 2009
August 9, 2009
August 2, 2009
July 26, 2009
July 19, 2009
July 12, 2009
July 5, 2009
June 28, 2009
June 21, 2009
June 14 , 2009
June 7, 2009
May 31, 2009
May 24, 2009
May 17, 2009
May 10, 2009
May 3, 2009
April 26, 2009
April 19, 2009
April 12 , 2009
April 5 , 2009
March 29, 2009
March 22, 2009
March 15, 2009
March 8, 2009
March 1, 2009
February 22, 2009
February 15, 2009
February 8, 2009
February 1, 2009
January 25, 2009
January 18, 2009
January 11, 2009
January 4, 2009
December 29, 2008
December 21, 2008
December 14, 2008
December 7, 2008
November 30, 2008
November 23, 2008
November 16, 2008
November 9, 2008
November 2, 2008
October 26, 2008
October 19, 2008
October 12, 2008
October 5 , 2008
September 28, 2008
September 20, 2008
September 11, 2008
September 7, 2008
September 1, 2008
August 24, 2008
August 17, 2008
August 10, 2008
August 3, 2008
July 27, 2008
July 20, 2008
July 13, 2008
July 6, 2008
June 29, 2008
June 22, 2008
June 15, 2008
June 8, 2008
June 1, 2008
May 26, 2008
May 18, 2008
May 11, 2008
May 4, 2008
April 27, 2008
April 20, 2008
April 13, 2008
April 6, 2008
March 30, 2008
March 23, 2008
March 16, 2008
March 9, 2008
March 2, 2008
Feb 24, 2008
Feb 18, 2008
Feb 10, 2008
Feb 3, 2008
Jan 27, 2008
Jan 21, 2008




November 8, 2009
Weekend Estimates
Domestic Market Share


Hmmmm Bug

A Christmas Carol gave cheer as the weekend box office leader with an estimated $30.7 million. However, it was the cumbersomely titled Precious: Based on the novel “Push” by Sapphire that had industry heads spinning. The well-received, unblinking urban drama grossed $1.88 million from a mere 18 screens for a jaw-dropping theater average of $104,810.

The session had three additional national debuts that opened to slightly better than anticipated business. The offbeat political comedy The Men Who Stare at Goats ranked third with $13.1 million and the paranormal The Fourth Kind was a notch behind with $12.4 million. The Box -- largely dismissed or disdained critically -- was commercially discarded with a $7.7 million premiere.

Niche and exclusive bows were also generally strong. Bollywood entry Ajab Prem Ki Ghazab Kahani had one of the better 2009 openings with a $420,000 tally and La Donation in Quebec grossed $99,300 from 21 cinemas. Exclusives at solo venues were all encouraging including the non-fiction La Danse with $11,600, Splinterheads with $8,200 and indie drama The Evening Sun comparable at $8,100.

It all added up to a sizeable box office boost from last weekend but it wasn’t enough to top the performance from 2008.

Critical response to the new 3D motion capture version of the Dickens’ A Christmas Carol was mixed and its $30.7 million gross puts it on the borderline in regard to its perennial potential. There’s always the possibility it could spike as occurred with The Polar Express during the Thanksgiving period. Roughly 55% of playdates were stereoscopic and those engagements comprised 74% of sales. The 181 Imax dates accounted for about $4.5 million of the total. And to no great surprise, teenagers were a slim 15% of the audience.

The Fourth Kind also received pros and cons from reviewers as it was gauged against the Paranormal Activity phenom. While the similarity of theme of the two pictures likely bled gross, the new film had sufficient distance that improved upon internal estimates in the arena of $10 million.

There were similar expectations for The Men Who Stare at Goats but strong buzz and its older skewing audience pumped up its initial box office.

Overall weekend sales clocked in with approximately $125 million in torn stubs that translated into a 42% upturn from seven days earlier. Still it was 12% diminished from last year when the launches of Madagascar 2 and Role Models led with respective first salvos of $63.1 million and $19.2 million.

A critical and audience favorite on the fest circuit, Precious -- with its tough love saga of a young African American woman -- was expected to connect in the art house environment. Its appeal to the urban crowd remained a question mark but in its limited exposure response across the board has been ferocious. With awards frenzy mounting, the film could readily turn in box office comparable or better than Monster’s Ball and Crash.

The frame’s other seeming anomaly was the virtual carbon copy b.o. results for Couples Retreat. It appears to have connected with plus 25s who aren’t avid about viewing movies on opening weekend. And with the paucity of titles appealing to adults (especially films with a few laughs) the movie receives at least a momentary second wind.

by Leonard Klady


Weekend Estimates: November 6-8, 2009

Title
Distributor
Gross (avg)
% change *
Theaters
Cume
A Christmas Carol
BV
30.7 (8,330)
New
3683
30.7
This is It
Sony
14.1 (4,050)
-39%
3481
58
The Men Who Stare at Goats
Overture
13.1 (5,370)
New
2443
13.1
The Fouth Kind
Uni
12.4 (4,920)
New
2527
12.4
Paranormal Activity
Par
8.4 (3,290)
-49%
2558
97.3
The Box
WB
7.7 (2,930)
New
2635
7.7
Couples Retreat
Uni
6.4 (2,230)
-1%
2857
95.9
Law Abiding Citizen
Overture
6.1 (2,480)
-17%
2474
60.8
Where the Wild Things Are
WB
4.2 (1,510)
-30%
2756
69.2
Astro Boy
Summit
2.5 (1,300)
-28%
1918
15
Saw VI
Lionsgate
2.0 (970)
-62%
2091
26.2
Precious
Lionsgate
1.9 (104,810)
New
18
1.9
The Stepfather
Sony
1.8 (1,280)
-43%
1424
27.4
Amelia
Fox Searchlight
1.8 (1,720)
-42%
1030
11.3
Zombieland
Sony
1.3 (1,190)
-50%
1100
73.5
Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs
Sony
1.3 (1,150)
-53%
1126
121
Turandot Live
Fathom
1.2 (3,330)
New
544
1.2
Cirque du Freak: The Vampire's Assistant
Uni
1.1 (780)
-64%
1421
12.9
A Serious Man
Focus
.85 (3,240)
-18%
262
5.8
An Education
Sony Classics
.55 (6,880)
18%
80
2.3
Coco Before Chanel
Alliance/Sony Class
.52 (1,910)
66%
272
3.9
The Boondock Saints II
Apparition
.43 (4,110)
-21%
105
1.2
Ajab Prem Ki Ghazab Kahani
Viva
.42 (5,620)
New
75
0.42
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films)
-
$119.90
-
-
-
% Change (Last Year)
-
-12%
-
-
-
% Change (Last Week)
-
42%
-
-
-

Also debuting/expanding

La Donation
Seville
.10 (4,730)
New
21
0.1
(Untitled)
IDP
63,200 (2,528)
355%
25
0.11
AntiChrist
IFC
39,600 (2,090)
-20%
19
0.23
The Maid
Elephant Eye
38,700 (3,870)
-30%
10
0.2
La Danse
Zipporah
11,600 (11,600)
New
1
0.02
Splinterheads
Paladin
9,900 (9,900)
New
1
0.01
Collapse
Vitagraph
8,200 (8,200)
New
1
0.01
That Evening Sun
FreeStyle
8,100 (8,100)
New
1
0.01

 

Domestic Market Share: To November 5, 2009

Distributor (releases)
Gross
Mrkt Share
Warner Bros. (29)
1705.8
19.70%
Paramount (14)
1424.7
16.40%
Sony (20)
1185.1
13.70%
Buena Vista (19)
971.8
11.20%
Fox (15)
964.4
11.10%
Universal (19)
805.3
9.30%
Lionsgate (12)
335.1
3.90%
Fox Searchlight (11)
257.7
3.00%
Summit (10)
190.5
2.20%
Weinstein Co. (8)
187.4
2.20%
Focus (9)
149.3
1.70%
Overture (7)
107.2
1.20%
Paramount Vantage (4)
67.6
0.80%
MGM (4)
64.7
0.70%
Miramax (7)
53.1
0.60%
Other * (284)
197.9
2.30%

* none greater than 0.4%
8667.6
100.00%


Top Global Grossers - January 1 - November 5, 2009

Title
Distributor (releases)
Gross (millions)
Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince
WB
945,204,179
Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs
Fox
880,448,199
Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen
Par
833,313,054
Up
BV
645,994,256
Angels & Demons
Sony
486,411,857
The Hangover
WB
468,337,623
Night at the Museum 2
Fox
412,435,005
Star Trek
Par
385,031,543
Monsters vs. Aliens
Par
381,139,323
X-Men Origins: Wolverine
Fox
373,164,285
Terminator Salvation
WB/Sony
371,720,523
Fast & Furious
Uni
359,357,594
Slumdog Millionaire *
Fox Searchlight
357,237,152
The Proposal
BV
316,316,482
G.I. Joe: The Rise of Cobra
Par
301,070,492
Inglourious Basterds
Weinstein/Uni
300,989,341
Curious Case of Benjamin Button *
Par/WB
276,124,938
Gran Torino *
WB
268,537,042
G-Force
BV
266,521,377
District 9
Sony/QED
201,311,559
Public Enemies
Uni
198,569,232
The Ugly Truth
Sony
197,730,202
 
* does not include 2008 box office



 




 

 


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