..Gary Dretzka
..
Noah Forrest
..Leonard Klady
..David Poland
..Douglas Pratt
..Ray Pride
..Kim Voynar
..Michael Wilmington

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September 27, 2009
Weekend Estimates
Domestic Market Share


I Want to Live 'til Monday

A trio of new titles couldn’t catch Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs for the weekend box office crown. Cloudy was hardly overcast as it dipped a modest 20% in its sophomore session to gross an estimated $24.4 million.

But it was disappointing returns for the freshman class. The science-fiction thriller Surrogates ranked second with $14.7 million and a slot behind the resurrected Fame clocked in with $10 million. Further down the list Pandorum was lost in space with $4.3 million.

Regional and niche activity proved to be more buoyant. In Canada, the big screen sequel to the TV hit The Trailer Park Boys raised significant laughs of $1.4 million and in Quebec Coco Before Chanel contributed about half of the North American box office of $340,000. On the Bollywood circuit there was OK response of $163,000 for What’s Your Raashee? At 77 sites.

Exclusives were dominated by a rousing $58,000 per screen for Michael Moore’s provocative Capitalism: A Love Story at four venues. There were also initial signs of strength for the drama The Boys are Back of $48,700 from six screens and the spooky Paranormal Activity raised $85,300 at a dozen specialized sites. Also notably was the $21,700 Manhattan exclusive of Brief Interviews with Hideous Men.

 Still, the alternative stream couldn’t stave off overall box office downturns.

Tracking had anticipated roughly a $20 million bow for Surrogates and the stylish marketing and intriguing premise appeared to be raising audience interest. However, there was some concern that ad images might be confused for a fashion or perfume promotion and the b.o. result suggest that there may have been some mixed messages.

Similarly Fame had some advance predictions at $15 million on the high side. And while the film displayed core appeal with a younger, female demo, there was limited response from the generation that remembered the 1980 original or its television spinoff.

The session also featured 502 Saturday sneaks for the upcoming distaff roller derby opus Whip It. It also attracted younger women and studio exits indicated an encouraging 65% overall capacity. Also of note, the latest Harry Potter crossed $300 million domestically.

Weekend revenues pushed toward $95 million that translated into a 7% erosion from the prior weekend. It was a slighter steeper 8% drop from 2008 when debuts of Eagle Eye and Nights in Rodanthe led with respective tallies of $29.1 million and $13.4 million.

The spectacular if limited first blush for Capitalism might just bear out that Michael Moore’s partisan political tilt fares better when examining the aftermath of catastrophe rather than getting into the fray as his prior effort Sicko did on health care. Regardless, he remains the rare bird as the preeminent non-fiction commercial dynamo.

by Leonard Klady

 

 

 


Weekend Estimates: September 25-27, 2009

Title
Distributor
Gross (avg)
% change *
Theaters
Cume
Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs
Sony
24.4 (7,820)
-20%
3119
59.8
Surrogates
BV
14.7 (4,990)
New
2951
14.7
Fame
MGM
10.0 (3,220)
New
3096
10
The Informant!
WB
6.6 (2,530)
-37%
2505
20.7
I Can Do Bad All By Myself
Lionsgate
4.7 (2,220)
-52%
2120
44.5
Love Happens
Uni
4.3 (2,260)
-47%
1898
14.7
Pandorum
Overture
4.3 (1,710)
New
2506
4.3
Jennifer's Body
Fox
3.3 (1,210)
-52%
2738
12.1
9
Focus
2.8 (1,370)
-50%
2025
27.1
Inglourious Basterds
Weinstein Co.
2.6 (1,320)
-32%
1960
114.3
All About Steve
Fox
2.2 (1,120)
-35%
1965
29.8
Trailer Park Boys 2
Alliance
1.4 (6,980)
New
202
1.4
The Final Destination
WB
1.4 (1,160)
-43%
1175
64.6
Julie & Julia
Sony
1.2 (900)
-38%
1328
90.5
District 9
Sony
1.1 (1,150)
-45%
925
113.5
Sorority Row
Summit
1.0 (660)
-60%
1523
10.6
G.I. Joe: Rise of Cobra
Par
.70 (780)
-49%
895
147.3
Bright Star
Apparition
.66 (5,090)
248%
130
0.95
The Time Traveler's Wife
WB
.53 (650)
-48%
810
61.7
Gamer
Lionsgate
.51 (650)
-64%
780
20.1
The Hangover
WB
.44 (1,240)
-6%
355
274.5
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films)
-
$88.40
-
-
-
% Change (Last Year)
-
-8%

-
-
-
% Change (Last Week)
-
-7%

-
-
-

Also debuting/expanding

(500) Days of Summer
Fox Searchlight
.36 (880)
-44%
414
31.6
I Hope They Serve Beer in Heaven
FreeStyle
.35 (2,900)
New
120
0.35
Coco Before Chanel
Alliance/Sony Class
.34 (8,670)
New
39
0.34
My One and Only
FreeStyle
.27 (1,060)
-3%
256
1.9
Capitalism: A Love Story
Overture
.23 (58,010)
New
4
0.3
What's Your Raashee?
UTV
.16 (2,120)
New
77
0.15
Paris
IFC
.12 (3,970)
164%
31
0.19
Paranormal Activity
Par
94,200 (7,850)
New
12
0.09
The Boys Are Back
Miramax
48,700 (8,120)
New
6
0.05
The Providence Effect
Slow Hand
29,300 (2,090)
New
14
0.3
Brief Interviews with Hideous Men
IFC
21,700 (21,700)
New
1
0.02
The Blue Tooth Virgin
Regent
2,240 (1,120)
New
2
0.01

 

Domestic Market Share: To September 17, 2009

Distributor (releases)
Gross
Mrkt Share
Warner Bros. (27)
1592.2
20.40%
Paramount (13)
1331.5
17.10%
Sony (17)
951.1
12.20%
Fox (15)
948.9
12.20%
Buena Vista (16)
898.1
11.50%
Universal (17)
691.2
8.90%
Lionsgate (10)
296.8
3.80%
Fox Searchlight (9)
234.3
3.00%
Weinstein Co. (8)
177.9
2.30%
Summit (9)
175.5
2.30%
Focus (8)
137.1
1.80%
Paramount Vantage (4)
67.5
0.90%
Miramax (6)
51.8
0.70%
MGM (3)
42.3
0.50%
Other * (237)
187.9
2.40%
* none greater than 0.4%
7784.1
100.00%


Top Limited Releases - January 1 - September 24, 2009

Title
Distributor (releases)
Gross (millions)
The Wrestler *
Fox Searchlight
25,068,864
Under the Sea 3D
WB
17,528,485
Milk *
Focus
17,246,974
The Hurt Locker
Summit
12,441,192
Sunshine Cleaning
Overture
12,062,558
Away We Go
Focus
9,552,776
Du Pere en flic
Alliance
8,874,944
Whatever Works
Sony Classics
5,280,054
Deep Sea 3-D
WB/Imax
5,261,884
Moon
Sony Classics
4,843,670
Entre les murs (The Class)
Sony Classics
3,766,810
The Brothers Bloom
Summit
3,531,756
Two Lovers
Magnolia
3,149,034
Magnificent Desolation *
Imax
2,808,748
Cheri
Mrmx
2,715,657
Rachel Getting Married *
Sony Classics
2,696,170
Easy Virtue
Sony Class/Alliance
2,653,621
Sin Nombre
Focus
2,536,665
Space Station *
Imax
2,534,006
* does not include 2008 box office


 




 

 


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