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..Gary Dretzka
..Leonard Klady
..Emanuel Levy
..David Poland
..Doug Pratt
..Ray Pride




February 20, 2006
Weekend Estimates
Domestic Market Share - 2006


Hug Your Huskies...

There was no chill in weekend movie going as the Arctic adventure Eight Below led the frame with an estimated $25.2 million. Close behind was the teen spoof Date Movie with $22.3 million and the remarkably resilient The Pink Panther at $21.5 million. The session’s other national debut Freedomland posted an unimpressive $6.9 million to rank seventh. Among the new niche entries, the Russian blockbuster Night Watch posted a dizzying $36,100 average from three venues.

Business during the four-day President Day holiday was marginally ahead of box office from last year and for the comparable three-day period from the prior weekend.

In the Olympic tradition, the two new entries proved to be fierce competitors with Date Movie the early leader with an opening day gross of $6.9 million to Eight Below’s $5.2 million bow. However, in subsequent days the sub-zero survival tale’s family appeal boosted matinee business and proceeded to overtake the bawdy parody. Both films emerged as winners, particularly the spoof that was produced for less than $20 million.

Among sophomore titles, the family friendly Panther and Curious George benefited from holiday business with respective drops of 14% and 21%. Final Destination 3 and Firewall had more typical erosions of 48% and 35%.

Weekend revenues clocked in at slightly better than $155 million to exceed last year’s holiday by about 6%. The three-day portion bettered last weekend’s business by 4%. The slight box office boosts are encouraging but adjusted for small bumps in ticket prices translate into status quo as far as admissions are concerned. Nonetheless it should provide sufficient juice to put a happy face on next month’s exhibition convention ShoWest.

Easily the most controversial entry in the marketplace, Freedomland received mixed marks from critics that translated into disappointing returns. The combination of child endangerment and racial tension added up to roughly $6.9 million and averages of not quite $3,000.

On the Oscar beat, Brokeback Mountain, Capote, Munich and Goodnight, and Good Luck all held fast against the competition. There was also good news for pictures with nominations in secondary categories such as TransAmerica and Match Point. Still, in most instances the performing bars had been set at modest levels and the slate’s overall performance is dwarfed by the robust entries of recent weeks.

The religious-themed The Second Chance received a limited opening and just fair returns of $270,000 from 87 pulpits. One imagines the picture was acquired on the wings of last year’s Gospel but previews resulted in an adjustment to prior expectations.

Russia’s sci-fi horror opus Night Watch finally arrived on these shores with a three screen showcase that grossed about $110,000. Fox Searchlight acquired worldwide rights for the film shortly after its record-breaking performance at home and made a deal for its sequel and a third part that will be shot in English. The original has grossed about $15.5 million outside Russia and the sequel has topped the original at home with a $33 million tally since its debut in December.

The session also saw good initial business for other foreign imports including Germany’s Oscar-nominated Sophie Scholl that rang up $22,100 from a single Manhattan screen. Mexico’s Cannes entry Battle in Heaven grossed $25,700 from two screens. Other debuts included Winter Passing with $36,500 from seven locations and the Quebec comedy Que Dieu benisse l’Amerique with modest results of $49,300 from 16 venues.

The redoubtable Neil Young crooned about $220,000 from 30 stages for his Heart of Gold in its second weekend.

- by Leonard Klady


Weekend Estimates - February 17-20, 2006

Title
Distributor
Gross (average)
% change
Theaters
Cume
Eight Below
BV
25.2 (8,230)
0
3066
25.2
Date Movie
Fox
22.3 (7,710)
0
2896
22.3
The Pink Panther
Sony
21.5 (6,180)
-14%
3477
47.2
Curious George
Uni
15.3 (5,950)
-21%
2572
33.5
Final Destination 3
New Line
11.9 (4,140)
-48%
2880
37.6
Firewall
WB
10.3 (3,620)
-35%
2840
28.6
Freedomland
Sony
6.9 (2,940)
0
2361
6.9
When a Stranger Calls
Sony
5.9 (2,250)
-44%
2629
42.2
Big Momma's House 2
Fox
5.5 (2,710)
-38%
2039
62.4
Nanny McPhee
Uni
5.0 (2,520)
-23%
2001
39.2
Brokeback Mountain
Focus
3.9 (2,460)
-21%
1600
72.2
Walk the Line
Fox
1.8 (2,080)
-21%
883
116.4
The Chronicles of Narnia
BV
1.7 (1,760)
-36%
955
287.1
Underworld: Evolution
Sony
1.7 (1,770)
-44%
972
60.3
Hoodwinked
Weinstein Co.
1.6 (1,300)
-49%
1265
49.5
Match Point
DreamWorks
1.5 (3,090)
-7%
495
20.4
Something New
Focus
1.5 (2,300)
-46%
639
10.7
Capote
Sony Classics
1.3 (2,530)
-16%
522
22
Mrs. Henderson Presents
Weinstein Co.
1.1 (2,640)
36%
431
5.8
Munich
Uni
.83 (2,180)
0%
380
45.4
Good Night, and Good Luck
WIP
.81 (2,570)
-17%
315
29.4
The Matador
Weinstein Co.
.75 (1,700)
-46%
441
11.7
TransAmerica
Weinstein Co.
.71 (4,490)
-20%
158
3.8
Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire
WB
.66 (1,490)
119%
441
287.9
Annapolis
BV
.61 (1,280)
-63%
478
16.5
Glory Road
BV
.53 (1,000)
-62%
532
41.6
* percentage change is 3-day to 3-day
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films)
0
$150.10
0%
0
0
% Change (Last Year)
0
4%
0
0
0
% Change (Last Week)
0
6%
0
0
0
Also debuting/expanding
0
0
0
0
0
World's Fastest Indian
Magnolia
.33 (2,540)
-14%
130
1.3
Second Chance
Sony
.27 (3,080)
0
87
0.27
Heart of Gold
Par Classics
.22 (7,250)
215%
30
0.29
Night Watch
Fox Searchlight
.11 (36,170)
0
3
0.11
Que Dieu benisse l'Amerique
Christal
49,300 (3,080)
0
16
0.05
Winter Passing
Yari/Innovation
36,500 (5,210)
0