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..Gary Dretzka
..Leonard Klady
..Emanuel Levy
..David Poland
..Doug Pratt
..Ray Pride




January 29, 2006
Weekend Estimates
Domestic Market Share - 2006


Who's That Knocking ...

The remake of When a Stranger Calls definitely rang the bell for audiences with an estimated $22.2 million. The frame’s only other national bow was the inter-racial romance Something New that aroused little passion with a $4.9 million gross to rank seventh in the lineup. Otherwise the weekend was marked by expansions of movies that figured prominently in last week’s Oscar announcements.

Distributors buckled down for movie going erosion as the Super Bowl weekend arrived. Weekend business was arcing toward roughly $108 million or a 16% decline from the prior weekend. However, it also represented a 6% boost from 2005.

For those with long memories, the original When a Stranger Calls with Carol Kane and Charles Durning opened in 1979 and scared up great business and a totally forgettable sequel. Contemporary audiences know it primarily from small screen rotation and the decision to green light a new interpretation marks another shrewd move for the profitable grindhouse fare representative of Screen Gems.

Despite generally positive reviews Something New failed to draw black or white and appears destined for red (ink). Audiences have historically been cool to inter-racial tales with exceptions such as The Bodyguard emphasizing other elements of their stories. The new offering wasn’t helped by the absence of stars or its cool, levelheaded approach to the issue.

The Academy Award best picture slate pumped new energy into most of the nominees. Though favorite Brokeback Mountain took a small hit, the film remains on track to gross more than $100 million if it takes top honors next month. Munich staved off commercial extinction with its major award nominations and both Capote and Good Night, and Good Luck were afforded the opportunity for major national exposure in theaters though none of the latter trio generated potent screen averages. Lions Gate is mounting a more aggressive than anticipated campaign for Crash with full page ads noting its DVD availability. Industry pundits are surprised the company hasn’t four-walled courtesy theatrical engagements in Los Angeles and New York and scuttlebutt is that financier Bob Yari is on the hook for ads but not new bookings. Ironically, if the film proves to be a spoiler, Yari isn’t one of the designated accepting producers per a guild ruling.

Other films riding Oscar mania include Walk the Line, TransAmerica and Mrs. Henderson Presents.

The session also featured the first significant exposure of the Oscar M.I.A. Three Burials of Meliquades Estrada (following an Oscar qualifying run) that showed good initial response with about $250,000 from 35 engagements. Still it’s difficult to gauge whether its strength tilts toward the art house or appeal to Hispanic crowds.

Other debuting fare in the niches generated modest to poor returns. The oft-delayed A Good Woman surfaced at 35 theaters with an indifferent $100,000 and the latest from Utah-based HaleStone - Suits on the Loose - demonstrated little expansion potential with $33,500 from 26 sites. Slightly more potent was the indie production Tamara with $32,600 from 14 venues.

- by Leonard Klady


Weekend Estimates - January 27-29, 2006

Title
Distributor
Gross (average)
% change
Theaters
Cume
When a Stranger Calls
Sony
22.2 (7,400)
-
2999
22.2
Big Momma's House 2
Fox
13.1 (4,030)
-53%
3261
45.2
Nanny McPhee
Uni
9.9 (4,610)
-32%
2145
26.6
Brokeback Mountain
Focus
6.3 (3,030)
-3%
2089
60.4
Hoodwinked
Weinstein Co.
5.2 (1,800)
-30%
2907
44
Underworld: Evolution
Sony
5.1 (1,770)
-55%
2870
52.7
Something New
Focus
4.9 (1,680)
-
2907
4.9
Annapolis
BV
3.5 (2,170)
-55%
1607
12.9
Walk the Line
Fox
3.4 (2,140)
11%
1577
110.7
Glory Road
BV
3.0 (1,420)
-43%
2141
39
The Chronicles of Narnia
BV
2.9 (1,710)
-35%
1716
281.8
Last Holiday
Par
2.6 (1,340)
-46%
1920
36.3
The Matador
Weinstein Co.
2.3 (2,570)
-36%
905
8.6
Capote
Sony Classics
2.2 (1,810)
219%
1225
17.9
Match Point
DreamWorks
2.0 (3,870)
-28%
509
16.6
Munich
Uni
1.9 (1,650)
13%
1140
43.16
Good Night, and Good Luck
WIP
1.7 (1,800)
823%
929
26.9
Fun with Dick and Jane
Sony
1.6 (1,190)
-54%
1361
108.7
The New World
New Line
1.4 (1,780)
-42%
803
10.2
King Kong
Uni
1.3 (1,470)
-46%
869
215
End of the Spear
Rocky Mountain
1.2 (1,520)
-51%
817
9.9
Mrs. Henderson Presents
Weinstein Co.
1.0 (3,880)
234%
260
3.2
Memoirs of a Geisha
Sony
.87 (1,140)
-44%
765
55.3
Syriana
WB
.71 (1,010)
-47%
705
48.3
Hostel
Lions Gate
.59 (1,050)
-67%
564
47
TransAmerica
Weinstein Co.
.53 (5,250)
12%
101
1.68
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films)
$117.00
-
-
-
% Change (Last Year)
-
6%
-
-
-
% Change (Last Week)
-
-16%
-
-
-
Also debuting/expanding
Three Burials of Melquiades Estrada
Sony Classics
.25 (7,090)
-
35
0.29
Roving Mars
BV
.24 (8,960)
-41%
27
0.76
Imagine Me and You
Fox Searchlight
.12 (2,180)
135%
56
0.19
A Good Woman
UTV
.10 (2,950)
-
35
0.1
Suits on the Loose
HaleStone
33,500 (1,290)
-
26
0.03
Tamara
Intl Film Exchange
32,600 (2,330)
-
14
0.03
Who Gets to Call It Art
Palm
7,800 (3,900)
-
2
0.01

Domestic Market Share: January 1 - February 2, 2006

Distributor (releases)
Gross
Percentage
Sony (6)
133.4
16.70%
Buena Vista (9)
128.3
16.10%
Fox (7)
120.6
15.10%
Universal (5)
110.7
13.90%
Weinstein Co. (6)
54.1
6.80%
Warner Bros. (5)
47.1
5.90%
Lions Gate (2)
46.9
5.90%
Focus (3)
46.1
5.80%
Paramount (4)
37.3
4.60%
Fox Searchlight (2)
17.5
2.60%
DreamWorks (3)
15.7
2.20%
New Line (3)
10.1
1.30%
Rocky Mountain (1)
8.6
1.10%
Sony Classics (6)
6.5
0.80%
Other * (37)
14.7
1.80%
* none greater than 0.4%
639.8
100.00%

 

 


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