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..Gary Dretzka
..Leonard Klady
..David Poland
..Doug Pratt
..Ray Pride




July 10, 2005
Weekend Finals
Market Share

Limited Releases

It's Clobberin' Time .. Kinda'

Fantastic Four was the fantastic one as it pummeled the competition with an estimated $55.9 million to lead weekend box office options. Combined with strong holdovers and a buoyant bows for the Quebec drama Aurore and Ingmar Bergman's cinematic swan song, overall business did the unexpected - it was on a par with 2004 for the first time in close to five months.

The latest adaptation from the Marvel comic book canon, Fantastic Four proved to be more commercially potent than even the most optimistic industry pundits had anticipated. Entering the weekend, the aggressive marketing campaign was expected to translate into a gross of between $40 million to $45 million in the wake of scathing reviews. However, it's opening day gross of $21 million immediately raised the bar several notches.

The frame also featured the bow of Dark Water, a chiller adapted from a hit Japanese horror movie. The high gloss programmer performed respectably if in an unexceptional manner with a box office of $10.2 million that placed it third in the lineup.

Last week's holiday leader War of the Worlds was sandwiched between the freshmen with $30.3 million. Its 53% drop came as no surprise as marketing strategies that concentrate on opening weekends have evolved into steep second weekend drops. In the course of the past five years tent poles that were viewed anxiously when they fell by one-third are now considered buoyant performers.

Weekend business should clock in with slightly better than a $150 million tally that is a virtual carbon copy of 2004's box office. As Fantastic Four wasn't expected to come close to a $50 million gross, the industry was digging in for a 20th consecutive week of declining grosses. While admissions still trailed past summers, there was a sense of, minimally, a partial victory and the vague hope that such upcoming releases as Charlie and the Chocolate Factory, The Island and The Dukes of Hazard will provide a late summer surge.

The marketplace leaders, including Batman Begins and Mr. & Mrs. Smith, remained relatively resilient with limited release alternative fare such as March of the Penguins and You and Me and Everything You Know expanding to great effect.

In regional openings, the Quebec period drama Aurore had a strong debut of roughly $650,000. Based on a notorious court case centering on the possible murder of a young child, it resonated with local audiences.

Niche entries were spearheaded by Ingmar Bergman's Saraband, a continuation of the characters from his 1973 Scenes from a Marriage -both originally produced for television. The sober-sided human saga generated a potent near $9,000 per screen from four locations. Also impressive was the documentary Murderball about wheelchair athletes that grossed about $54,000 from eight venues. Less encouraging were the Ecuadorian thriller Cronicas with $42,600 in nine theaters and The Beautiful Country grossing $22,700 from six installations.

- by Leonard Klady


Weekend Estimates - July 8-10, 2005

Title
Distributor
Gross (average)
% change
Theaters
Cume
Fantastic Four
Fox
56.9 (15,790)
- 3602 56.9
War of the Worlds
Par
30.3 (7,750)
-53% 3910 164.8
Dark Water
BV
10.2 (3,850)
- 2657 10.2
Batman Begins
WB
10.0 (2,980)
-36% 3344 171.9
Mr. & Mrs. Smith
Fox
7.8 (2,820)
-26% 2781 158.6
Herbie: Fully Loaded
BV
6.2 (2,070)
-30% 3002 48.4
Bewitched
Sony
5.5 (1,830)
-40% 3014 50.9
Madagascar
DmWks
4.3 (1,980)
-21% 2162 179.5
Rebound
Fox
2.8 (1,150)
-44% 2464 11.3
Star Wars: Epi. III - Revenge of the Sith
Fox
2.7 (1,960)
-35% 1355 370.9
The Longest Yard
Par
2.0 (1,600)
-41% 1226 152.2
Cinderella Man
Uni
1.9 (1,820)
-23% 1030 57.1
March of the Penguins
WIP/Christal
1.0 (13,240)
127% 74 2.4
Adventures of Sharkboy and Lavagirl
Miramax
.93 (870)
-44% 1075 36.8
Land of the Dead
Uni
.88 (800)
-68% 1098 19.1
Crash
Lions Gate
.72 (2,270)
-6% 317 49.99
Aurore
Alliance
.65 (5,520)
118 0.63
Sisterhood of the Traveling Pants
WB
.52 (1,240)
-24% 420 36.8
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films)
$145.30
- - -
% Change (Last Year)
-
0%
- - -
% Change (Last Week)
-
6%
- - -
Also Debuting/Expanding-
Me and You and Everyone We Know
IFC
.27 (4,720)
12% 57 0.82
Rize
Lions Gate
.19 (1,230)
-65% 152 3
The Beat My Heart Skipped
Wellspring
64,200 (7,200)
-2% 9 0.17
Murderball
Thinkfilm
54,300 (6,790)
- 8 0.05
Cronicas
Palm
42,600 (4,730)
- 9 0.04
Saraband
Sony Classics
35,400 (8,850)
- 4 0.03
The Beautiful Country
Sony Classics
22,700 (3,780)
- 6 0.02

Top Limited Grosses: To July 7, 2005

Bride and Prejudice
Mrmx
6,605,592
Millions
Fox Searchlight
6,475,649
Aliens of the Deep
BV
6,200,767
Downfall
Newmarket
5,509,040
Beyond the Sea
Lions Gate
5,307,776
Space Station
Imax
5,035,229
Ong Bak: The Thai Warrior
Magnolia/Alliance
4,563,167
A Very Long Engagement
WIP
4,396,424
Being Julia
Sony Class/Think
4,221,165
Mad Hot Ballroom
Par Classics
4,188,310
Ladies in Lavender
IDP/Odeon
4,096,043
Kinsey
Fox Searchlight
3,929,716
Melinda and Melinda
Fox Searchlight
3,826,280
Bad Education
Sony Class/Seville
3,740,716
The Merchant of Venice
Sony Classics
3,712,503
Enron: The Smartest Guys … Room
Magnolia
3,736,840
Howl's Moving Castle
BV
3,511,716
Born into Brothels
Thinkfilm
3,430,164
Rize
Lions Gate
2,850,799
C.R.A.Z.Y.
TVA
2,816,475
* no more than 588 playdates

Domestic Market Share: To July 7, 2005

Company (releases)
Box Office
Percentage
Fox (12)
881.3
19.60%
Warner Bros. (16)
599.4
13.30%
Sony (14)
509.4
11.30%
Universal (13)
490.7
10.90%
Paramount (9)
471.1
10.40%
Buena Vista (14)
329.1
7.30%
Miramax (14)
285.6
6.30%
DreamWorks (3)
253.2
5.60%
MGM (8)
182.5
4.10%
New Line (11)
131.9
2.90%
Lions Gate (10)
120.1
2.70%
Fox Searchlight (6)
65.2
1.50%
Focus (5)
46.7
1.00%
Sony Classics (13)
41.5
0.90%
Other * (139)
99.5
2.20%
* none greater than 0.5%
=
100.00%

 

 

 


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