January 23, 2005
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October 31, 2004
October 24, 2004
October 17, 2004
October 10, 2004
October 3, 2004


..Gary Dretzka
..Leonard Klady
..Emanuel Levy
..David Poland
..Doug Pratt
..Ray Pride





Weekend Estimates
2005 Domestic Market Share
2004 International Boxoffice
2004 Domestic Boxoffice
2004 Market Share

Peek-a-Boo!

Hide and Seek scared up a hair-raising gross estimated at $22.2 million to handily take the lead in the weekend box office derby. However, audiences were less inclined for the equally visceral Alone in the Dark that had a roughly 90% less chilling $2.5 million debut. Overall business rebounded 24% from last weekend's snow-out in much of the country on the allure of cheap thrills and the opportunity to at least see all those critical darlings that comprise the official Oscar list.

The old saw about no second acts certainly doesn't apply to Robert DeNiro, whose early career pegged him as box office poison despite a string of highly lauded performances. His comedy turns in Analyze This and Meet the Parents changed all that and Hide and Seek has provided him his best ever dramatic opening in one of those twisty thrillers rife with implausible turns and sloppy construction. Exiting polling provided some surprising results including a majority female audience and a strong 57% turnout of under 25. It should out-perform the equally lackluster and similarly themed Secret Window from last year.

The weekend's only other wide release was the aptly titled Alone in the Dark. Audiences decided not to take up the challenge and the film wound up 13th in the lineup with faint prospects of surviving beyond next weekend.

Ticket sales should generate about $120 million to top last year's business by 22%. A year ago the incoming You Got Served led the frame with a $16.1 million gross.

The biggest surprise in the current span was the amazing resilient second weekend of Ice Cube's Are We There Yet? It slipped a notch in the rankings with a $16.5 million gross and defied the odds with a razor this 11% drop from its opening.

Leading the Oscar charge in third spot was the $11.7 million tally for Million Dollar Baby. The downbeat boxing saga from Clint Eastwood added more than 1,850 theaters and generated a solid near $6,000 engagement average. While it was flagging in the heartland, its major contender status should sustain commercial momentum for at least the month running up to Oscar's Kodak moment.

Two other best picture nominees ranked in the top 10 - The Aviator and Sideways - with significant bounces in ticket sales and a sizeable number of new playdates. The Howard Hughes bio jumped 49% to $7.2 million and the long and wine-y rode of Sideways shot up 115% to $6.1 million. Finding Neverland and Ray, the other two nominees, also experienced significant boosts but are much further along in their theatrical careers and the latter film bows on DVD next week.

Oscar was also good to The Phantom of the Opera and Hotel Rwanda but the paucity or absence of nominations resulted in sharp declines for such titles as The House of Flying Daggers, Kinsey and The Woodsman.

Among limited and regional freshmen titles, the large format bow of James Cameron's Aliens of the Deep was not at all soggy, with the underwater adventure splashing up close to $400,000 from 27 venues. There was also an OK $17,300 gross for Lost Embrace - Argentina's Oscar submission - from two Manhattan hard tops.

Conversely, there wasn't much utz for Childstar, rated best Canadian movie at the Toronto Film Festival, and generating an icy $10,300 from seven screens. Even frostier was the 10-theater opening of the romantic drama Fascination that grossed roughly $8,700.

- by Leonard Klady


Weekend Estimates - January 28-30, 2005

Title
Distributor
Gross (average)
% change
Theaters
Cume
Hide and Seek
Fox
22.2 (7,380)
-300522.2
Are We There Yet?
Sony
16.5 (6,100)
-11%271038.6
Million Dollar Baby
WB
11.7 (5,800)
617%201021
Coach Carter
Par
7.8 (3,030)
-26%257453.3
Meet the Fockers
Uni
7.7 (2,480)
-23%3006247.8
The Aviator
Miramax/WB
7.2 (2,880)
49%250367.9
Racing Stripes
WB
6.3 (1,970)
-8%318534.9
In Good Company
Uni
6.3 (3,230)
-21%196036.1
Sideways
Fox Searchlight
6.1 (3,620)
115%169439.9
Assault on Precinct 13
Focus
4.1 (1,770)
-38%229714.5
Phantom of the Opera
WB
3.9 (2,570)
-15%151138.8
White Noise
Uni
2.8 (1,311)
-44%212553.6
Finding Neverland
Miramax
2.7 (2,140)
120%125835.9
Alone in the Dark
Lions Gate
2.5 (1,190)
-21242.5
Hotel Rwanda
MGM
1.7 (4,040)
27%4178
Elektra
Fox
1.3 (850)
-67%153022.9
Lemony Snicket's Unfortunate Incidents
Par
.94 (1,190)
-42%793116
National Treasure
BV
.74 (1,150)
-42%644167.6
Ocean's Twelve
WB
.67 (960)
-52%702123.6
Ray
Uni
.55 (1,040)
100%52773.7
House of Flying Daggers
Sony Classics
.50 (840)
-50%5959.8
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films
$114.20
---
% Change (Last Year)
-
22%
---
% Change (Last Week)
-
24%
---
Also Debuting/Expanding
Aliens of the Deep
BV
.38 (14,070)
-270.38
Lost Embrace
New Yorker
17,300 (8,650)
-20.02
Childstar
TVA
10,300 (1,470)
-70.01
Fascination
MGM
8,740 (870)
-100.01

Domestic Market Share: January 1-27, 2005

Distributor (Titles)
Gross (Millions)
Percentage
Universal (6)
197
31.40%
Warner Bros. (8)
99.1
15.80%
Paramount (5)
78.8
12.60%
Miramax (4)
51.8
8.30%
Fox (4)
48.2
7.70%
Sony (6)
47.8
7.60%
Buena Vista (4)
37.9
6.00%
Fox Searchlight (4)
15.9
2.50%
Focus (3)
11.5
1.80%
Sony Classics (4)
8.3
1.30%
New Line (5)
7.2
1.20%
MGM (1)
6
1.00%
Lions Gate (3)
4.8
0.80%
Other (22) *
12.3
2.00%
* none greater than .6%
626.6
100.00%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


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