Dec 26, 2004
Dec 19, 2004
Dec 12, 2004
Dec 5, 2004
Nov 28, 2004
Nov 21, 2004
Nov 14, 2004
Nov 7, 2004
October 31, 2004
October 24, 2004
October 17, 2004
October 10, 2004
October 3, 2004


..Gary Dretzka
..Leonard Klady
..Emanuel Levy
..David Poland
..Doug Pratt
..Ray Pride





Weekend Estimates
Top Limited Releases
Market Share

This is the Way the Year Ends
Not with a Wimper, But a Pop!

It was still all Fock and all action as Meet the Fockers continued to hold sway in theaters with an estimated $43.2 million during the New Year's holiday period. The close out of 2004 saw a modest improvement from the prior year to bring the annual domestic tally through December 30 to approximately $9.33 billion. With the addition of Friday's box office, 2004 will see a slim improvement of 1.7% while admissions are off by 6% from 2003.

There were no last minute national debuts but a handful of last minute qualifiers displayed heft, especially In Good Company with a $50,000 plus screen average.

Meet the Fockers continued to dominate holiday movie going with its closest rival trailing by nearly $30 million. It had close to a carbon copy gross from Christmas and has a cume of $163.6 million in 12 days of release.

Most films in the marketplace experienced at least modest box office improvement from Christmas with some of the higher profile award contenders reaping the biggest rewards including Sideways, Finding Neverland and Ray. There was also an unexpected rally for National Treasure and a more predictable boost for several family films.

Overall business should ring in with close to $155 million for a 12% increase from last weekend and a much appreciated 8% spike from the close of 2003.

The Aviator ranked third overall with a weekend just shy of $12 million and a cume of $32.1 million since its Christmas day debut. The chronicle of Howard Hughes early exploits maintained a good but not dynamic $6,600 theater average. A similar scenario could also be applied to The Phantom of the Opera with a $7,700 average in 65% fewer locations.

The most significant expansion during New Year's was the Bobby Darin biopic Beyond the Sea that expanded from 9 to 383 locations and grossed about $1.3 million. It's $3,300 average will make further expansions more problematic.

As noted the light comic look at contemporary corporate culture In Good Company was buoyed by strong reviews, grossing better than $150,000 from three venues. Other limited bows included The Merchant of Venice with Al Pacino as Shylock with its pound of flesh translating to $71,300 from four stalls; A five-screen break of The Assassination of Richard Nixon generating $28,400 and a not terribly lilting $24,200 from seven blue bayous for A Love Song for Bobby Long.

Million Dollar Baby and Hotel Rwanda both received solid upturns in limited exposure as they maintained strategic award campaigns. Both movies will up the ante to 100 theaters next weekend.

The close out of the year tightened a few positions in the market share race though the running order remained intact. Fox is the only studio that could ascend a notch among those not employing a calendar year cut off. Regardless, the top three will be Sony, Warner Bros. and Buena Vista. Final figures and statistics will be available Tuesday.

- by Leonard Klady


Weekend Estimates - December 31, 2004 - January 2, 2005

Title
Distributor
Gross (average)
% change Theaters Cume
Meet the Fockers
Uni
43.2 (12,260)
-6% 3524 163.6
Lemony Snicket's Unfortunate Incidents
Par
14.7 (4,050)
16% 3623 94.4
The Aviator
Miramax/WB
11.9 (6,630)
38% 1796 32.1
Fat Albert
Fox
10.8 (3,950)
- 2744 34
Ocean's Twelve
WB
9.8 (2,980)
17% 3290 107.4
National Treasure
BV
7.1 (3,100)
78% 2282 154.8
Spanglish
Sony
6.4 (2,540)
38% 2513 31.1
The Polar Express
WB
5.7 (2,300)
-12% 2489 155.2
Phantom of the Opera
WB
4.8 (7,730)
20% 622 16.2
Darkness
Miramax 
4.5 (2,610)
-27% 1718 16.5
The Life Aquatic
BV
4.4 (3,950)
-4% 1105 14.7
The Incredibles
BV
4.1 (2,400)
70% 1715 251.6
Flight of the Phoenix
Fox
3.0 (1,260)
12% 2373 16.7
Blade: Trinity
New Line
2.8 (1,280)
-5% 2207 48.1
Finding Neverland
Miramax
2.6 (2,490)
92% 1054 22.5
Closer
Sony
2.3 (2,130)
38% 1094 27.5
Sideways
Fox Searchlight
2.2 (5,980)
90% 373 22.5
Christmas with the Kranks
Sony
1.8 (980)
-31% 1825 73.2
Beyond the Sea
Lions Gate
1.3 (3,320)
383 1.8
Spongebob Squarepants
Par
1.2 (1,130)
69% 1068 81.9
House of Flying Daggers
Sony Classics
.73 (4,130)
18% 177 4.2
A Very Lomg Engagement
WIP
.62 (3,710)
37% 167 2.5
Ray
Uni
.60 (1,750)
138% 342 71.7
Kinsey
Fox Searchlight
.55 (2,380)
67% 231 5.7
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films)
$147.10
- - -
% Change (Last Year)
-
8%
- - -
% Change (Last Week)
-
12%
- - -
Also Debuting/Expanding
Million Dollar Baby
WB
.26 (29,110)
38% 9 1
In Good Company
Uni
.15 (51,400)
- 3 0.15
Hotel Rwanda
MGM
.14 (19,530)
37% 7 0.42
The Merchant of Venice
Sony Classics
71,300 (17,830)
- 4 0.07
Assassination of Richard Nixon
Thinkfilm
28,400 (5,680)
- 5 0.03
A Love Song for Bobby Long
Lion's Gate
24,200 (3,460)
- 7 0.02
Sky Blue
MaxMedia
2,720 (2,720)
- 1 0.01

Top Limited Releases: January 1 - December 2, 2004

Title
Distributor
Gross (millions)
Sideways
Fox Searchlight
20,255,070
Nascar: The Imax Experience
WB
19,476,576
The Motorcycle Diaries
Focus
15,535,300
De-Lovely
MGM
13,455,445
In America
Fox Searchlight
11,858,410
Super Size Me
IDP/Odeon
11,536,423
Girl with a Pearl Earring
Lions Gate
11,159,001
21 Grams
Focus
10,843,407
Space Station
Imax
10,133,426
House of Sand and Fog
DmWks
10,094,363
What the #$*! Do We Know
Lord of Wind/IDP
10,025,894
Bugs!
SK Film
9,627,654
Saved!
MGM
8,936,039
The Cooler
Lions Gate
6,900,809
Woman Thou Art Loosed
Magnolia 
6,879,730
Maria Full of Grace
NLC
6,550,321
The Triplets of Belleville
Sony Class/Alliance
6,536,791
Before Sunset
WIP
5,820,649
The Clearing
Fox Searchlight
5,763,875
Kinsey
Fox Searchlight
5,738,379
* none greater than 600 playdates
does not include 2003 grosses

Domestic Market Share**: January 1 - December 30, 2004

Distributor (releases)
Gross (millions)
Percentage
Sony (24)
1335
14.30%
Warner Bros. (33)
1219.4
13.10%
Buena Vista (27)
1154.2
12.40%
DreamWorks (11)
938.9
10.10%
Fox (17)
925.9
9.90%
Universal (17)
880.8
9.40%
Paramount (17)
622.6
6.70%
New Line (18)
435.1
4.70%
Newmarket (6)
406.7
4.40%
Miramax (21)
382.2
4.10%
Lions Gate (27)
279.9
3.00%
MGM (14)
198.7
2.10%
Fox Searchlight (11)
172
1.80%
Focus (8)
125.2
1.30%
Alliance (21)
55.4
0.60%
Other * (235)
197.7
2.10%
* none greater than .5%
** estimated
9329.7
100%

 

 


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