Nov 21, 2004
Nov 14, 2004
Nov 7, 2004
October 31, 2004
October 24, 2004
October 17, 2004
October 10, 2004
October 3, 2004
Sept 26, 2004
Sept 19, 2004
Sept 12, 2004
Sept 6, 2004
August 29, 2004
August 22, 2004
August 15, 2004
August 8, 2004
August 1, 2004
July 25, 2004
July 18, 2004
July 11, 2004
July 5, 2004
June 27, 2004
June 20, 2004
June 13, 2004
June 6, 2004
May 30, 2004
May 23, 2004
May 16, 2004
May 9, 2004
May 2, 2004
April 25, 2004
April 18, 2004
April 11, 2004
April 4, 2004
March 28, 2004
March 21, 2004
March 14, 2004
March 7, 2004
February 29, 2004
February 22, 2004
February 16, 2004
February 8, 2004
February 1, 2004
January 25, 2004
January 19, 2004
January 11, 2004
January 4, 2004
Dec 28, 2003
Dec 21, 2003
Dec 14, 2003
Dec 7, 2003


..Gary Dretzka
..Leonard Klady
..Emanuel Levy
..David Poland
..Doug Pratt
..Ray Pride





Weekend Estimates
Top Limited Grosses
Market Share

Closer … and No Cigar

In movie parlance, December - but especially the first week of the month - is the cruelest of the year. Thoughts of sugar plums dance in the mind and the multiplex slips lower on one's holiday check list.

This was once again aptly reflected as movie going plunged some 47% on the heels of a bountiful Thanksgiving to record the lowest returns of the past five years. While the span was absent of a single debuting wide release, both the limited national bow of Closer and the exclusive run of House of Flying Daggers had excellent bows with respective theatre averages of $16,400 and $25,000.

The frame was once again dominated by family fare with National Treasure holding onto first place with an estimated $16.9 million and sailing past a $100 million milestone on Saturday. It was followed by Christmas with the Kranks, The Polar Express and The Incredibles.

Closer, the searing look at contemporary relationships, received mixed but generally thoughtful reviews and its potent ensemble generated a sterling $7.8 million. Sony had considered both opening the picture wide or going out on a very exclusive basis. It finally settled on 476 playdates, reckoning that the absence of new titles and paucity of adult fare would work in the picture's favor. The result certainly bore out that rationale even if exit response by CinemaScore rendered an overly harsh D+ rating.

Overall business limped toward the imminent Yule onslaught with about an $88 million tally. It was a not unexpected steep drop from the prior holiday period and additionally lagged behind 2003 by about 10%. Last year, The Last Samurai entered the marketplace with $24.3 million and Honey's opening charted second with $12.9 million.

The majors have been loath to force film goers to decide between a trip to the cinema and working on Santa's gift basket and one can't argue the point too strenuously. Invariably when high profile films have bowed in early December, the result has been disappointing and the instances of picture's rallying after soft starts is a true rarity in the present marketplace. Still, the record for movies targeted to a niche, younger crowd have proven to have traction and might have welcomed the arrival of next week's Blade Trinity at this juncture.

However, both mainstream and niche fare hunkered down for the commercial body blow. Films playing the award card including Finding Neverland, Sideways and Kinsey decided to put their expansions on hiatus and weather the attendance downturn. And while there was obvious erosion for the very limited runs of Bad Education and A Very Long Engagement, both movies continued to maintain very strong response and continued media interest.

The frame also included a 226 theater break for the drama I Am David that faltered with a lackluster response of about $150,000. Equally uninspired were a number of exclusive premieres including single screen results of $3,800 on the chess documentary Game Over and a scary $1,100 return for the Asian horror import A Tale of Two Sisters.

There was considerably better response for the critically acclaimed Chinese historical actioner House of Flying Daggers that arrived on 15 screens and grossed about $360,000. However, in light of the spectacular numbers generated by Hero (also directed by Dagger's director Zhang Yimou) that opened nationally during another traditionally slow period, one wonders whether the current film might have benefited from a more aggressive entry into the marketplace.

- by Leonard Klady


Weekend Estimates - December 3-5, 2004

Title
Distributor
Gross (average)
% change
Theaters
Cume
National Treasure
BV
16.9 (5,210)
-48% 3243 110
Christmas with the Kranks
Sony
11.5 (3,360)
-47% 3416 45.2
The Polar Express
WB
10.7 (2,940)
-45% 3650 96.1
The Incredibles
BV
9.2 (2,900)
-61% 3178 226.1
Closer
Sony
7.8 (16,360)
- 476 7.8
Spongebob Squarepants
Par
7.4 (2,230)
-59% 3307 67.9
Alexander
WB
4.7 (1,910)
-66% 2445 29.6
Finding Neverland
Miramax
2.9 (5,440)
-39% 526 12.7
Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason
Uni
2.8 (1,140)
-56% 2433 36.3
Ray
Uni
1.9 (1,220)
-53% 1547 67.8
After the Sunset
New Line
1.8 (980)
-41% 1889 26.9
Sideways
Fox Searchlight
1.7 (3,390)
-42% 499 12.4
The Grudge
Sony
1.1 (840)
-45% 1286 109.2
Saw
Lions Gate
.88 (840)
-42% 1043 54.4
Shall We Dance
Miramax
.79 (750)
-48% 1054 55.4
Kinsey
Fox Searchlight
.68 (3,620)
-47% 188 3.6
Seed of Chucky
Focus
.53 (620)
-59% 856 16.5
The Motorcycle Diaries
Focus
.52 (1,910)
-21% 272 14.4
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films)
$83.90
-
% Change (Last Year)
-
8%
-
% Change (Last Week)
-
-47%
-
Also Debuting/Expanding
House of Flying Daggers
Sony Classics
.37 (24,800)
- 15 0.37
I Am David
Lions Gate
.15 (650)
- 226 0.15
Bad Education
Sony Classics
80,600 (26,880)
-42% 3 0.52
A Very Long Engagement
WIP
69,200 (17,300)
-32% 4 0.21
Game Over
Thinkfilm
2,800 (2,800)
- 1 0.01
A Tale of Two Sisters
Tartan
1,100 (1,100)
- 1 0.01

Top Limited Grossers: January 1 - December 2, 2004

Title
Distributor
Gross (millions)
Nascar: The Imax Experience
WB
19,401,917
The Motorcycle Diaries
Focus
13,870,113
De-Lovely
MGM
13,455,445
In America
Fox Searchlight
11,858,410
Super Size Me
IDP/Odeon
11,536,423
Girl with a Pearl Earring
Lions Gate
11,159,001
21 Grams
Focus
10,843,407
Sideways
Fox Searchlight
10,676,105
House of Sand and Fog
DmWks
10,094,363
Space Station
Imax
9,774,804
Bugs!
SK Film
9,484,048
What the #$*! Do We Know
IDP
9,162,313
Saved!
MGM
8,936,039
Finding Neverland
Miramax
8,859,351
The Cooler
Lions Gate
6,900,809
Woman Thou Art Loosed
Magnolia 
6,879,730
Maria Full of Grace
NLC
6,550,321
The Triplets of Belleville
Sony Class/Alliance
6,536,791
Before Sunset
WB
5,820,649
The Clearing
Fox Searchlight
5,763,875
* none greater than 600 playdates - does not include 2003 grosses

Domestic Market Share: January 1 - December 2, 2004

Distributor (releases)
Gross (millions)
Percentage
Sony (21)
1245.5
14.60%
Buena Vista (25)
1056.6
12.40%
Warner Bros. (31)
1034.7
12.10%
DreamWorks (11)
935.4
10.90%
Fox (16)
888.7
10.40%
Universal (17)
748.2
8.80%
Paramount (16)
522.1
6.10%
Newmarket (6)
406.6
4.80%
New Line (16)
386.2
4.50%
Miramax (20)
334.8
3.90%
Lions Gate (25)
277.5
3.20%
MGM (14)
198.4
2.30%
Fox Searchlight (11)
157.8
1.90%
Focus (8)
122.3
1.40%
Alliance (20)
54
0.60%
Other * (225)
180.2
2.10%
* none greater than .5%
8549
100%

 

 


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