Sept 19, 2004
Sept 12, 2004
Sept 6, 2004
August 29, 2004
August 22, 2004
August 15, 2004
August 8, 2004
August 1, 2004
July 25, 2004
July 18, 2004
July 11, 2004
July 5, 2004
June 27, 2004
June 20, 2004
June 13, 2004
June 6, 2004
May 30, 2004
May 23, 2004
May 16, 2004
May 9, 2004
May 2, 2004
April 25, 2004
April 18, 2004
April 11, 2004
April 4, 2004
March 28, 2004
March 21, 2004
March 14, 2004
March 7, 2004
February 29, 2004
February 22, 2004
February 16, 2004
February 8, 2004
February 1, 2004
January 25, 2004
January 19, 2004
January 11, 2004
January 4, 2004
Dec 28, 2003
Dec 21, 2003
Dec 14, 2003
Dec 7, 2003


..Gary Dretzka
..Leonard Klady
..Emanuel Levy
..David Poland
..Doug Pratt
..Ray Pride





Weekend Estimates
Top Worldwide Grosses
Market Share

Gone .. But Not Forgotten

The eerie thriller The Forgotten led weekend movie going with an estimated $22.2 million. It was an impressive debut in an otherwise listless marketplace in which holdover titles were flagging and business continued to erode at a significant rate. Another bright spot was the trio of exclusive engagements for The Motorcycle Diaries that rang up a theater average of more than $50,000.

While the critics weren't generally kind to The Forgotten's 'what if' premise that recalled a stripe of thriller best identified with The Sixth Sense, the public at least was willing to give it a preferential status. Studio tracking was projecting that the film would perform in the mid-to-high teens but the absence of competition proved to be a lucky asset.

The frame also saw two other national bows of limited commercial potency. The youth targeted comedy First Daughter debuted fourth overall with a moribund $4.2 million and will have a tough slog to reach an eventual cume of $10 million. Considerably better but by no means a home run, the vampire spoof Shaun of the Dead had a limited wide release that rang up $3.3 million and a theater average of $5,400.

Overall box office should tally to slightly more than $70 million for an 8% decline from seven days earlier. And once again revenues were sharply down from 2003 by 23%. Last year's leaders were debuting titles The Rundown and Under the Tuscan Sun with respective grosses of $18.5 million and $9.8 million.

There is some immediate sense of marketplace turnaround with exhibition crossing its fingers that next weekend's bow of the animated Shark Tale and Ladder 49 will provide fuel for the fall. However, the degree of intensity may not live up to the ferocity the industry so dearly desires. Domestic box office passed $7 billion Friday and while that's 4% ahead of last year's tally, its behind the number of actual admissions.

Last weekend's trio of freshmen - including box office leader Sky Captain - experienced drops of between 42% and 54% and that's pretty much on par with the rest of the fare in local multiplexes.

Activity in specialized and regional arenas was highly competitive but new offerings generally did little to enliven box office sales. The exception was The Motorcycle Diaries based on the formative years of Ernesto "Che" Guevara that bowed in two Manahattan and a single L.A. screen and should tally better than $150,000. The film expands to the top 10 markets next weekend and could well prove to be a highlight of award's season.

John Waters' outré comedy A Dirty Shame followed its single screen debut with the addition of 132 engagements and a just OK $440,000 box office. On a comparable commercial level, the Hollywood vs. organized crime comedy The Last Shot tallied slightly more than $160,000 from 35 venues.

There was little of a lasting nature for the 65-screen launch of the supernatural romance Eternal in Quebec that grossed about $130,000 and limited release offerings rated fair to dismal. The non-fiction The Yes Men on latter day political merry pranksters averaged about $7,500 from three screens while the gay targeted The Raspberry Reich tallied about $5,100 from a single NYC venue.

Other debuts included a five-screen launch for the Hong Kong hit Infernal Affairs of $24,000; a $16,000 gross from four sites for the indie comedy Hollywood Buddha; just shy of $6,000 for the provocative French import Anatomy of Hell in two playdates; and dire consequences of $5,000 total from eight screens for the documentary The September Tapes.

- by Leonard Klady


Weekend Estimates - September 24-26, 2004

Title
Distributor
Gross (average)
% change
Theaters
Cume
The Forgotten
Sony
22.2 (7,160)
- 3104 22.2
Sky Captain & the World of Tomorrow
Par
7.1 (2,240)
-54% 3170 25.9
Mr. 3000
BV
5.1 (1,850)
-42% 2736 15.4
First Daughter
Fox
4.2 (1,850)
- 2259 4.2
Resident Evil: Apocalypse
Sony/Alliance
4.1 (1,450)
-53% 2836 43.5
Cellular
New  Line
3.7 (1,330)
-46% 2763 25.1
Wimbledon
Uni
3.4 (1,660)
-52% 2039 12.2
Shaun of the Dead
Focus
3.3 (5,410)
- 607 3.3
Without a Paddle
Par
2.5 (1,090)
-31% 2319 53.6
Hero
Miramax
2.1 (1,210)
-27% 1713 49.1
Napoleon Dynamite
Fox Searchlight
1.8 (1,750)
-21% 1024 35.7
Collateral
DmWks
1.4 (1,090)
-38% 1287 98.1
The Bourne Supremecy
Uni
1.2 (1,190)
-33% 1028 172.2
Garden State
Fox Searchlight
1.1 (1,590)
-33% 667 22.5
Princess Diaries 2: Royal Engagement
BV
.93 (660)
-52% 1408 93.2
Anacondas
Sony
.79 (750)
-50% 1054 30.8
Vanity Fair
Focus
.77 (920)
-51% 835 14.9
Paparazzi
Fox
.51 (700)
-62% 730 15.3
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films)
$66.20
- - -
% Change (Last Year)
-
-23%
- - -
% Change (Last Week)
-
-8%
- -
Also Debuting/Expanding
A Dirty Shame
New Line
.44 (3,340)
- 133 0.48
The Last Shot
BV
.16 (4,630)
- 35 0.16
The Motorcycle Diaries
Focus
.15 (51,100)
- 3 0.15
Eternal
TVA
.13 (2,030)
- 65 0.13
Infernal Affairs
Miramax
24,050 (4,810)
-- 5 0.02
Yes Men
MGM
22,700 (7,560)
- 3 0.02
Hollywood Buddha
Artistic Licence
16,380 (4,100)
- 4 0.02
Anatomy of Hell
Tartan
5,820 (2,910)
- 2 0.01
The Raspberry Reich
Strand
5,100 (5,100)
- 1 0.01
September Tapes
First Look
5,040 (630)
- 8 0.01

Top Worldwide Grosses: January 1 - September 23, 2004

Title
Distributor
Gross
Shrek 2
DmWks/UIP
870,426,575
Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban
WB
784,014,017
Spider-Man 2
Sony
762,549,595
The Passion of the Christ
Newmarket/Icon
623,489,009
Lord of Rings: Return of the King *
New Line
545,355,621
The Day After Tomorrow
Fox
538,919,169
Troy
WB
491,800,423
The Last Samurai *
WB
322,311,224
I, Robot
Fox 
303,250,447
Van Helsing
Uni
294,977,186
The Bourne Supremacy
Uni
228,190,899
Fahrenheit 9/11
LGF/Wild Bunch
208,700,202
Something's Gotta Give *
Sony/WB
200,716,230
50 First Dates
Sony
195,171,755
The Village
BV
194,945,635
King Arthur
BV
180,263,436
Scooby-Doo 2: Monsters Unleashed
WB
179,022,097
Along Came Polly
Uni
171,072,358
Starsky & Hutch
WB/BVI
169,318,174
Garfield
Fox
167,646,962
* does not include 2003 box office

Domestic Market Share: January 1 - September 23, 2004

Distributor (releases)
Gross (millions)
Percentage
Sony (19)
1021.7
14.70%
Warner Bros. (27)
920.7
13.20%
Fox (14)
839.7
12.10%
DreamWorks (9)
757.9
10.90%
Buena Vista (21)
657.7
9.50%
Universal (14)
573.8
8.20%
Newmarket (5)
405.7
5.80%
Paramount (13)
389.3
5.60%
New Line (11)
329.9
4.70%
Miramax (17)
264
3.80%
Lions Gate (19)
220.4
3.20%
MGM (12)
197.2
2.80%
Fox Searchlight (8)
117.3
1.70%
Focus (6)
76.9
1.10%
Alliance (15)
47.5
0.70%
Other * (181)
142.1
2.00%
* none greater than .5%
6961.8
100.00%

 

 

 

 

 


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