January 4, 2004
Dec 28, 2003
Dec 21, 2003
Dec 14, 2003
Dec 7, 2003

 


..Gary Dretzka
..Leonard Klady
..Emanuel Levy
..David Poland
..Doug Pratt
..Ray Pride





Weekend Finals
A Note About Foreign Grosses
2003 International Boxoffice Grosses
2003 International Market Share


Polly Wolly Doodle All Weekend

Along Came Polly and the rest followed. The Ben Stiller-Jennifer Aniston romantic comedy arrived in theaters Friday to reviews that ranged from tepid to vitriolic and the public flocked to get a dose of low brow humor. The film was a clear winner with an estimated $32.8 million for the four-day Martin Luther King holiday frame.

The debut was the biggest for a January arrival and that, sadly, tells a lot about the sort of films that traditionally open at the start of a new year. It also once again underlines the old saw about movie going being product driven and how a popular title will perform regardless of its position on the calendar.

However, despite its heady bow and in light of two other disappointing national arrivals, overall business declined by roughly 9% from 2003 when Just Married led the field with a $17.5 million weekend. The holiday span should generate about $137 million and that's roughly 9% better than last weekend's ticket sales.

Second spot was a much closer tussle between The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the Kings and Big Fish with early estimates favoring the former by a whisker and at $12.6 million. Actuals could well tell a different tale Tuesday.

Torque was neither fast nor furious as it entered the marketplace lapped by the competition with an estimated $11.8 million weekend. It was uninspired programmer fare with dim hopes of recreating the commercial potency of films that inspired its production. Still it functioned on a couple of pistons which is a demonstrably better fate than was accorded Disney's animated Teacher's Pet that sputtered into an unlucky 13th place finish with $3.2 million. It was a grim fate for the family imprimatur that has experienced lower than anticipated response to its most recent in-house productions.

The period also saw a trio of films - Something's Gotta Give, The Last Samurai, The Cat in the Hat - climb past $100 million. But only the Keaton-Nicholson romantic comedy has the utz of a commercial success. A recent piece on Samurai outlined how the film would make back its money and quoted Warner Bros.' pictures co-president Alan Horn as characterizing its domestic theatrical performance as "disappointing." Cat also came with the sort of hefty price tag that makes its box office not quite enough and ancillary revenues all important.

The weekend also provided a couple of niche newcomers in limited openings. The Japanese anime Tokyo Godfathers grossed about $36,000 from eight engagements while Crimson Gold from Iran rendered $17,500 from two screens. Both results were respectable if undistinguished.

Continuing limited release titles appeared to be biding time until the announcement of Oscar nominees on January 27. Films including In America, House of Sand and Fog and 21 Grams are all in that precarious state of a virtual death sentence should they be excluded from the party and no guarantee of a second wind at the box office even if they corral nominations in key categories. However, if audience interest is any sort of bellwether, the makers of Monster and Girl with a Pearl Earring have the best reason to be optimistic about the future.

A Few Notes About Foreign Gross

Unlike the domestic marketplace, tracking the rest of the world's film business is less precise. The reasons are not simply acquiring accurate figures for such problematic territories as India, Russia and China though it's a significant factor in calculations.

Tracking North American box office has evolved in the past decade from being able to profile 95% of activity to a near perfect 99% handle on business. There's no question that identifying revenues from international markets has also improved demonstrably but the survey from which current assessments are made likely represents between 88% and 90% of overseas box office. As a result, comparisons are based on comparable annual samplings and whereas 2003 domestic revenues increased less than 1%, foreign box office improved by better than 5%.

International business is still only slightly better than in the U.S. and Canada and there's little indication that the gap between the two will grow more than a couple of percent on an annual basis. The Hollywood majors dominate worldwide with only Japan, India, South Korea and France demonstrating competitive and on-going strength at home. International sales companies including Intermedia, Lakeshore and Summit continue to live and die based on annual slates that continue to erode as a result of studios increasingly partnering with other studios.

It should also be noted that figures for both Buena Vista and Warner Bros. International tend to blur because of activity by their respective sisters Miramax and New Line. Both parents distribute films from their affiliates in key territories but for purposes of divvying up market share, the chart generally credits revenues on the basis of which company serves as the sales agent. It is admittedly imperfect and other methods could result in individual market shares varying by as much as +/- 2%.


- by Leonard Klady


Weekend Finals - January 16-19, 2004

Title
Distrib
Weekend % Change Theaters Cume
Wks
1
New
Along Came Polly
Uni
32,450,825 - 2984 32,450,825
1
2
1
Lord of the Rings: Return of the King
New Line
12,447,761 -28% 3003 329,040,393
5
3
2
Big Fish
Sony
12,336,971 -25% 2514 39,888,222
6
4
3
Cheaper by the Dozen
Fox
11,873,331 -24% 3025 115,075,464
4
5
New
Torque
WB
11,442,203 - 2463 11,442,203
1
6
4
Cold Mountain
Miramax
7,945,318 -14% 2836 65,965,857
4
7
5
Something's Gotta Give
Sony
6,721,767 -25% 2502 101,683,127
6
8
6
My Baby's Daddy
Miramax
4,433,788 -51% 1448 13,174,496
2
9
12
Calendar Girls
BV
3,864,120 -15% 967 18,002,429
5
10
9
The Last Samurai
WB
3,707,472 -31% 1403 102,583,643
7
11
New
Disney's Teacher's Pet
BV
3,602,245 - 2027 3,602,245
1
12
7
Chasing Liberty
WB
3,453,487 -54% 2400 10,677,289
2
13
11
Peter Pan
Uni
3,149,590 -47% 1649 43,968,270
4
14
8
Paycheck
Par
2,967,416 -51% 1984 50,894,692
4
15
10
Mona Lisa Smile
Sony
2,553,361 -51% 1836 60,913,606
5
16
19
Monster
Newmarket
1,805,095 79% 221 3,562,736
4
17
30
The Cooler
Lions Gate
1,330,763 267% 396 3,751,701
8
18
14
21 Grams
Focus
1,278,497 -15% 411 10,934,562
9
19
13
House of Sand and Fog
DreamWorks
1,227,002 -27% 598 9,261,494
5
20
18
In America
Fox Searchlight
1,027,209 -6% 286 8,001,848
8
21
20
Lost in Translation
Focus
927,762 3% 366 33,748,834
19
22
17
The Haunted Mansion
BV
612,055 -55% 446 72,529,828
8
23
21
Master and Commander
Fox
576,187 -23% 306 84,823,203
10
24
25
The Young Black Stallion
BV
558,912 14% 51 3,463,344
4
25
29
Girl with a Pearl Earring
Lions Gate
544,225 42% 51 1,947,052
6
26
28
Mystic River
WB
403,122 1% 133 55,315,693
15
27
15
Stuck on You
Fox
348,588 -71% 579 33,156,824
6
28
24
Love Actually
Uni
330,825 -34% 238 58,613,490
11
29
31
Brother Bear
BV
303,584 -23% 327 84,063,654
13
30
27
The Cat in the Hat
Uni
302,365 -35% 334 100,253,365
9
31
23
Elf
New Line
287,520 -56% 273 172,132,026
11
32
16
Bad Santa
Miramax
276,341 -77% 389 59,230,390
8
33
22
Love Don't Cost a Thing
WB
240,798 -64% 265 21,404,278
6
34
39
Matrix Revolutions
WB
234,434 88% 319 138,737,892
11
35
26
Honey
Uni
218,960 -48% 238 29,709,220
6
36
49
The Company
Sony Classics
204,260 163% 43 647,720
4
37
32
The Legend of Johnny Lingo
Innovation
196,196 -27% 19 1,673,997
21
38
34
The School of Rock
Par
194,362 -24% 182 80,791,630
16
39
35
The Triplets of Belleville
Sony Class/Allian
192,290 -1% 36 2,782,629
9
40
36
Radio
Sony
148,471 -11% 148 52,173,361
13
41
33
Gothika
WB
137,649 -43% 137 58,771,320
8
42
67
Timeline
Par
128,952 557% 165 19,277,033
8
43
42
The Station Agent
Miramax/Alliance
119,499 13% 67 5,141,328
16
44
50
The Fog of War
Sony Classics
93,701 17% 9 500,542
5
45
37
Scary Movie 3
Miramax
92,329 -28% 140 109,838,872
13
46
48
The Battle of Algiers (reissue)
Rialto
83,645 -1% 7 188,820
2
47
40
Looney Toons: Back in Action
WB
78,375 -41% 162 20,904,494
10
48
46
The Missing
Sony
77,832 -6% 96 26,327,890
8
49
38
Alexander's Project
Alliance
76,657 -31% 29 474,254
4
50
47
Space Station
Imax
76,381 -5% 15 46,627,163
92
51
43
Runaway Jury
Fox
73,352 -22% 106 49,238,110
13
52
85
The Gospel of John
Thinkfilm
58,766 557% 28 3,169,753
17
53
45
The Statement
Sony Class/Think
56,935 -29% 51 461,486
5
54
51
Bugs!
SK Film
50,403 -26% 15 4,541,259
45
55
52
My Architect
New Yorker
46,642 -25% 6 502,754
10
56
41
Nez rouge
Cristal
45,093 -52% 36 2,004,814
8
57
56
The Texas Chainsaw Massacre
New Line
39,908 2% 57 80,390,022
13
58
44
Under the Tuscan Sun
BV
37,968 -53% 68 43,540,269
17
59
New
Tokyo Godfathers
IDP
37,127 - 8 37,127
1
60
54
The Barbarian Invasions
Alliance/Miramax
36,270 -31% 12 6,040,762
38
61
57
Kill Bill Vol. 1
Miramax
33,797 -13% 30 69,764,145
15
62
69
Japanese Story
IDP
30,661 83% 5 94,287
3
63
65
Spy Kids 3-D: Game Over
Miramax
26,544 5% 32 111,733,000
26
64
53
The Home Teachers
HaleStone
26,185 -45% 19 91,820
2
65
63
Shattered Glass
Lions Gate
21,924 -17% 25 2,183,309
11
66
66
Gloomy Sunday
Menemsha
21,305 -1 8 481,207
30
67
58
Annie Brocoli dans les fonds marin
TVA
19,280 -42% 33 374,360
5

 

Estimates - January 16-19, 2004

Title
Distributor
Gross (average)
% change Theaters Cume
Along Came Polly
Uni
32.8 (10,980)
- 2984 32.8
Lord of the Rings: Return of King
New Line
12.6 (4,200)
-28% 3003 329.2
Big Fish
Sony
12.5 (4,960)
-22% 2514 40
Torque
WB
11.8 (4,770)
- 2463 11.8
Cheaper By the Dozen
Fox
10.9 (3,600)
-22% 3025 114.1
Cold Mountain
Miramax
8.0 (2,890)
-14% 2802 66
Something's Gotta Give
Sony
6.8 (2,720)
-20% 2502 101.8
My Baby's Daddy
Miramax
4.4 (3,010)
-50% 1448 13.1
Calendar Girls
BV
3.8 (3,960)
-14% 967 17.9
The Last Samurai
WB
3.7 (2,630)
-32% 1403 102.6
Chasing Liberty
WB
3.3 (1,380)
-54% 2400 10.5
Paycheck
Par
3.3 (1,670)
-44% 1984 51.2
Teacher's Pet
BV
3.2 (1,590)
- 2027 3.2
Peter Pan
Uni
2.7 (1,640)
-46% 1659 43.5
Mona Lisa Smile
Sony
2.6 (1,400)
-49% 1836 60.9
Monster
Newmarket
1.7 (8,040)
71% 214 3.5
21 Grams
Focus
1.3 (3,140)
-13% 411 10.9
The Cooler
Lions Gate
1.3 (3,210)
251% 396 3.7
House of Sand and Fog
DreamWorks
1.2 (2,060)
-28% 598 9.2
In America
Fox Searchlight
1.0 (3,530)
-11% 286 8.1
Lost in Translation
Focus
.88 (2,400)
-5% 366 33.7
Master and Commander
Fox 
.58 (1,890)
-7% 306 84.8
Girl with a Pearl Earring
Lions Gate
.53 (10,390)
29% 51 1.9
Haunted Mansion
BV
.51 (1,140)
-45% 446 72.4
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films)
$131.40
-
% Change (Last Year)
-
-9%
-
% Change (Last Week)