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Brokeback Mountain   
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
100%
Also Nominated - Capote, Crash, Good Night/Good Luck, Munich

 
Ang Lee
Brokeback Mountain
  
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
100%

Also Nominated - George Clooney for Good Night/Good Luck, Paul Haggis for Crash, Bennett Miller for Capote, Steven Spielberg for Munich


Phillip Seymour Hoffman  
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
91%
Heath Ledger  
*
*
*
*
*
**
*
*
*
*
*
9%
Also Nominated - Terrence Howard, Joaquin Phoenix, David Strathairn

Reese Witherspoon  
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
100%
Also Nominated - Judi Dench, Felicity Huffman, Keira Knightley, Charlize Theron

Rachel Weisz
The Constant Gardener
  
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
100%

Also Nominated - Amy Adams for Junebug, Catherine Keener for Capote, Frances McDormand for North Country, Michelle Williams for Brokeback Mountain


George Clooney
Syriana

  
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
73.6%
Matt Dillon
Crash
  
*
*
*
*
**
*
*
*
*
*
*
23.3%
Paul Giamatti
Cinderella Man
  
*
*
*
*
*
**
*
*
*
*
*
3.1%
Also Nominated - Jake Gyllennhaal for Brokeback Mountain, William Hurt for A History Of Violence

Crash   
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
100%
Also Nominated - Good Night, & Good Luck, Match Point, The Squid & The Whale, Syriana

Brokeback Mountain   
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
100%
Also Nominated - A History Of Violence, Capote, The Constant Gardener, Munich


Tsotsi - South Africa  
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
81.8%
Paradise Now – Palestine  
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
18.2%
Also Nominated - Don't Tell - Italy, Joyeux Noel - France, Sophie Scholl - Germany

March Of The Penguins    
*
*
*
*
**
**
*
**
**
*
*
90.9%
Murderball    
*
*
**
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
9.1%
Also Nominated - Darwin's Nightmare, Enron: The Smartest Guys In The Room, Street Fight-

xx
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Biggest Upset Surest Lock The One I'm Rooting for.
- -- --

---David is on vacation.

Crash over Brokeback Mountain Ang Lee, best director William Hurt, for what would be the most entertainingly bizarre acceptance speech ever.
Amy Adams,
Best Supporting Actress
Colleen Atwood, Best Costume Design Memoirs Of A Geisha
Terrence Howard, Best Actor
Hustle & Flow
Amy Adams, Junebug Philip Seymour Hoffman, Capote Noah Baumbach,
The Squid and the Whale
-Terrence Howard for Best Actor
-Ang Lee for Best Director
-Catherine Keener for Best Supporting Actress

Matt Dillon Reese Witherspoon Amy Adams
- - -
Jake Gyllenhaal, supporting Actor Reese Witherspoon William Hurt, because A HIstory of Violence is the Best Movie of '05 and he's really its only hope
Crash as Best Picture Crash and BBM for Screenplay Paradise Now in Foreign Language and Street Fight in Documentary
Crash for Best Picture Wallace and Gromit,
Animated Feature
O'Connell and Russell for Memoirs of a Geisha, Sound Mixing
Good Night, Good Luck for original screenplay
Terrence Howard winning for Hustle & Flow Ang Lee winning for Brokeback Mountain Terrence Howard for
Hustle & Flow
Heath Ledger overtaking Philip Seymour Hoffman Ang Lee for directing Brokeback Mountain Alex Gibney, director of Enron: The Smartest Guys in the Room

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Notes: These are prognostications by top awards watchers, not personal preferences.
xxxxxxPassing On Guruship - The LA Times & Variety... The NY Times has a non-participation policy.
xxxxxxTotals are based on reverse point values, i.e. a #1 vote is worth 3 points, a #2 vote is worth 2 points, #3 worth 1.


The Gurus
Thelma Adams, US Magazine
David Ansen, Newsweek
Scott Bowles , USA Today
Pete Hammond, Maxim
Eugene Hernandez, indieWIRE
Peter Howell, Toronto Star
The Gurus
Emanuel Levy, EmanuelLevy.com
Jack Mathews , New York Daily News
David Poland, Movie City News
Sasha Stone, Oscarwatch.com
Kris Tapley, In Contention/MCN
Anne Thompson, Hollywood Reporter
Jeffrey Wells, Hollywood Elsewhere

 

 


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